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Dollar Rally Resumes as Expected, Gold Breaks October Bottom

Dollar Rally Resumes as Expected, Gold Breaks October Bottom

Ilya Spivak, Head Strategist, APAC

Talking Points:

  • US Dollar Moves to Resume Advance as Expected
  • S&P 500 Topping Chart Pattern Remains in Play
  • Gold Aims Lower After Breaking October Bottom

Can’t access to the Dow Jones FXCM US Dollar Index? Try the USD basket on Mirror Trader. **

US DOLLAR TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – Prices rebounded from resistance-turned-support at the top of a falling channel set from July (now in the 10505-32 area) as expected. Near-term resistance is at 10653, the 23.6% Fibonacci expansion, with a push above that targeting the 38.2% level at 10839. Alternatively, a reversal below support initially eyes the November 6 low at 10492.

Forex_Dollar_Rally_Resumes_as_Expected_Gold_Breaks_October_Bottom_body_Picture_5.png, Dollar Rally Resumes as Expected, Gold Breaks October Bottom

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

** The Dow Jones FXCM US Dollar Index and the Mirror Trader USD basket are not the same product.

S&P 500 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – Prices pulled back as expected, completing a bearish Three Inside Down candlestick pattern. Near-term support is in the 1765.70-73.40 area, marked by a horizontal barrier set from late October and the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement. A break below that targets the 38.2% level at 1743.00. Near-term resistance is at 1802.40, the November 18 high.

Forex_Dollar_Rally_Resumes_as_Expected_Gold_Breaks_October_Bottom_body_Picture_6.png, Dollar Rally Resumes as Expected, Gold Breaks October Bottom

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

GOLD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Prices recoiled from resistance at a falling trend line set from late October. A break below support at 1249.18, the 61.8% Fibonacci expansion, has exposed the 76.4% level at 1222.60. A reversal back above 1249.18 aims for 1270.67, the intersection of the 50% Fib and the trend line.

Forex_Dollar_Rally_Resumes_as_Expected_Gold_Breaks_October_Bottom_body_Picture_7.png, Dollar Rally Resumes as Expected, Gold Breaks October Bottom

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

CRUDE OIL TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Prices continue to consolidate above the November 14 low 92.49, with positive RSI divergence hinting a bounce may be ahead. Initial resistance is at 95.37, marked by the 14.6% Fibonacci expansion and reinforced by the top of a falling channel set from late August. A break above that initially exposes the 23.6% level at 97.14. Alternatively, a move below 92.49 targets the channel bottom at 90.01.

Forex_Dollar_Rally_Resumes_as_Expected_Gold_Breaks_October_Bottom_body_Picture_8.png, Dollar Rally Resumes as Expected, Gold Breaks October Bottom

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

--- Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist for DailyFX.com

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DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

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