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US Dollar Chart Setup Hints Uptrend May be Ready to Resume

US Dollar Chart Setup Hints Uptrend May be Ready to Resume

2013-08-13 04:07:00
Ilya Spivak, Head Strategist, APAC
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THE TAKEAWAY: The US Dollar may be ready to resume its long-term uptrend after snapping a six-day run of consecutive losses. The S&P 500 continues to test the May swing top.

Don’t have access to the Dow Jones FXCM US Dollar Index? Try the USD basket via Mirror Trader as an alternative. **

US DOLLAR TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – Prices put in a Bullish Engulfing candlestick pattern, hinting a move higher is ahead. Initial resistance is at 10735, the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement, with a break above that aiming for the underside of a rising trend line set from mid-June (10772) and the 38.2% level (10787). Near-term support is at 10650, the August 8 low.

Forex_US_Dollar_Chart_Setup_Hints_Uptrend_May_be_Ready_to_Resume_body_Picture_5.png, US Dollar Chart Setup Hints Uptrend May be Ready to Resume

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

** The Dow Jones FXCM US Dollar Index and the Mirror Trader USD basket are not the same product.

S&P 500 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – Prices pulled back as expected after putting in a Hanging Man candlestick. Sellers are now testing support is at 1687.40, the May 22 high, with a break downward targeting the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement at 1674.10. Near-term support-turned-resistance is at the recently broken bottom of a rising channel set from mid-July, now at 1696.10. A move above that exposes the August 8 high at 1709.60.

Forex_US_Dollar_Chart_Setup_Hints_Uptrend_May_be_Ready_to_Resume_body_Picture_6.png, US Dollar Chart Setup Hints Uptrend May be Ready to Resume

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

GOLD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Prices broke resistance at a falling trend line set from early May, exposing the 38.2% Fibonacci expansion at 1336.76. A break above that targets the 50% level at 1356.52. Near-term support is at 1312.32, the 23.6% level, with a reversal back beneath that eying the August 7 low at 1272.81.

Forex_US_Dollar_Chart_Setup_Hints_Uptrend_May_be_Ready_to_Resume_body_Picture_7.png, US Dollar Chart Setup Hints Uptrend May be Ready to Resume

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

CRUDE OIL TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Prices have been edging lower within the bounds of what may be a Flag chart pattern, a setup indicative of counter-trend consolidation preceding resumption of a longer-term advance. A push above near-term resistance at 106.04, the 23.6% Fibonacci expansion, has exposed the Flag top at 107.01. A further push beyond that targets the 38.2% level at 108.40. Alternatively, a move back below 106.04 aims for the August 8 low at 102.21, followed by the Flag bottom at 101.80.

Forex_US_Dollar_Chart_Setup_Hints_Uptrend_May_be_Ready_to_Resume_body_Picture_8.png, US Dollar Chart Setup Hints Uptrend May be Ready to Resume

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

--- Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist for Dailyfx.com

To contact Ilya, e-mail ispivak@dailyfx.com. Follow Ilya on Twitter at @IlyaSpivak

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