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Forex Analysis: Dollar Attempts to Regain Momentum, S&P 500 Stalling

Forex Analysis: Dollar Attempts to Regain Momentum, S&P 500 Stalling

Ilya Spivak, Head Strategist, APAC

THE TAKEAWAY: The US Dollar is attempting to push higher anew but key resistance is holding for now. The S&P 500 is struggling to generate follow-through on bearish cues.

US DOLLAR TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Prices are retesting the underside of a rising channel set from mid-September (9997), a barrier reinforced by the 23.6% Fibonacci expansion (9995). A break above that targets the 10044-46 area, marked by the 38.2% level and the November 21 close. Rising trend line support is at 9939. A drop below that exposes the December 4 low at 9917.

Forex_Analysis_Dollar_Attempts_to_Regain_Momentum_SP_500_Stalling_body_Picture_4.png, Forex Analysis: Dollar Attempts to Regain Momentum, S&P 500 Stalling

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

S&P 500 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – Prices put in a bearish Evening Star candlestick pattern below resistance in the 1424.90-1430.90 area, hinting the upward correction witnessed since mid-September may be over and the dominant down trend ready to resume (although follow-through has yet to materialize). Initial support lines up at 1406.20, the 14.6% Fibonacci expansion, with a break below that exposing the 23.6% mark at 1394.30. Alternatively, a push back above 1430.90 targets 1466.10.

Forex_Analysis_Dollar_Attempts_to_Regain_Momentum_SP_500_Stalling_body_Picture_3.png, Forex Analysis: Dollar Attempts to Regain Momentum, S&P 500 Stalling

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

GOLD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Prices broke lower after putting in a Bearish Engulfing candlestick pattern, taking out support at a rising trend line set from late June. Sellers are retesting this barrier as resistance (now at 1715.03), with a break back higher aiming to challenge 1752.55. Alternatively, bearish resumption targets the November 5 low at 1672.50.

Forex_Analysis_Dollar_Attempts_to_Regain_Momentum_SP_500_Stalling_body_Picture_2.png, Forex Analysis: Dollar Attempts to Regain Momentum, S&P 500 Stalling

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

Want to learn more about RSI? Watch this Video.

CRUDE OIL TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Prices moved lower as expected after putting in a Shooting Star candlestick. A bearish continuation Flag chart pattern now appears to be validated with a break through the setup’s lower boundary, initially exposing the 38.2% Fibonacci expansion at 84.04. A further push below that targets the 50% level at 82.13. Flag bottom support-turned-resistance is now at 85.88, with a reversal back above that aiming for the 23.6% Fib at 86.45.

Forex_Analysis_Dollar_Attempts_to_Regain_Momentum_SP_500_Stalling_body_Picture_1.png, Forex Analysis: Dollar Attempts to Regain Momentum, S&P 500 Stalling

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

--- Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist for Dailyfx.com

To contact Ilya, e-mail ispivak@dailyfx.com. Follow Ilya on Twitter at @IlyaSpivak

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DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

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