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Forex Analysis: S&P 500 Chart Setup Hints US Dollar Support to Hold

Forex Analysis: S&P 500 Chart Setup Hints US Dollar Support to Hold

2012-11-27 05:09:00
Ilya Spivak, Sr. Currency Strategist
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THE TAKEAWAY: S&P 500 technical positioning warns of a turn lower ahead, hinting the safe-haven US Dollar may manage to hold up at support and position for recovery.

US DOLLAR TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Prices broke below the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement at 9993 to challenge the bottom of a rising channel set from mid-September (now at 9970). A break below this boundary initially exposes the 38.2% level at 9945. Alternatively, a break back above 9993 aims for the November 16 high at 10071.

Forex_Analysis_SP_500_Chart_Setup_Hints_US_Dollar_Support_to_Hold_body_Picture_4.png, Forex Analysis: S&P 500 Chart Setup Hints US Dollar Support to Hold

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

S&P 500 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – Prices are showing a Hanging Man candlestick below resistance at 1408.50, the 50% Fibonacci retracement. This barrier is reinforced by a falling trend line set from mid-October. A turn lower sees initial support at 1392.80, the 38.2% retracement, with a break below that aiming to challenge the 23.6% level at 1373.40. Alternatively, a push above resistance exposes the 1424.90-30.90 area.

Forex_Analysis_SP_500_Chart_Setup_Hints_US_Dollar_Support_to_Hold_body_Picture_3.png, Forex Analysis: S&P 500 Chart Setup Hints US Dollar Support to Hold

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

GOLD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Prices appear to have carved out a bullish Inverse Head and Shoulders chart pattern confirmed with a close above neckline resistance at 1737.28, 23.6% Fibonacci retracement. The setup implies a measured upside target at 1802.06. The 1737.28 level has been recast as near-term support, with a break below that aiming for the 38.2% Fib at 1688.65.

Forex_Analysis_SP_500_Chart_Setup_Hints_US_Dollar_Support_to_Hold_body_Picture_2.png, Forex Analysis: S&P 500 Chart Setup Hints US Dollar Support to Hold

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

Want to learn more about RSI? Watch this Video.

CRUDE OIL TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Prices are consolidating below resistance at 89.48, the 23.6% Fibonacci expansion. Initial rising trend line support is at 87.22, with a break below that exposing the November 7 low at 84.04. Alternatively, a push above resistance targets the 38.2% level at 92.88.

Forex_Analysis_SP_500_Chart_Setup_Hints_US_Dollar_Support_to_Hold_body_Picture_1.png, Forex Analysis: S&P 500 Chart Setup Hints US Dollar Support to Hold

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

--- Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist for Dailyfx.com

To contact Ilya, e-mail ispivak@dailyfx.com. Follow Ilya on Twitter at @IlyaSpivak

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