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Forex Analysis: US Dollar Springs Higher as S&P 500 Sinks Past Support

Forex Analysis: US Dollar Springs Higher as S&P 500 Sinks Past Support

2012-11-15 05:20:00
Ilya Spivak, Head Strategist, APAC
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THE TAKEAWAY: The US Dollar pushed higher to challenge key technical resistance as the S&P 500 sank downward, boosting demand for the go-to safe haven currency.

US DOLLAR TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Prices took out resistance at 9982, the 50% Fibonacci retracement, with buyers now challenging the top of a rising channel established from mid-September (10020). This barrier is reinforced by the 61.8% Fib at 10038. A push above the latter boundary exposes the 76.4% retracement at 10109. The 9982 level has been recast as support, with a drop below that exposing the 38.2% mark at 9925.

Forex_Analysis_US_Dollar_Springs_Higher_as_SP_500_Sinks_Past_Support_body_Picture_5.png, Forex Analysis: US Dollar Springs Higher as S&P 500 Sinks Past Support

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

S&P 500 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – Prices broke support at 1369.40, the 50% Fibonacci retracement level, exposing the 61.8% level at 1344.50 as the next downside objective. The 1369.40 level has been recast as resistance, with a reversal back above that targeting the 38.2% Fib at 1394.30.

Forex_Analysis_US_Dollar_Springs_Higher_as_SP_500_Sinks_Past_Support_body_Picture_6.png, Forex Analysis: US Dollar Springs Higher as S&P 500 Sinks Past Support

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

GOLD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Prices are testing resistance at 1732.33, the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement. A push above that targets the 1790.55-1802.80 area. Near-term support is at 1693.06, the 38.2% Fib, a barrier reinforced by a rising trend line set from late June (now at 1687.00). A drop beneath the latter level targets the 50% Fib at 1661.32.

Forex_Analysis_US_Dollar_Springs_Higher_as_SP_500_Sinks_Past_Support_body_Picture_7.png, Forex Analysis: US Dollar Springs Higher as S&P 500 Sinks Past Support

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

Want to learn more about RSI? Watch this Video.

CRUDE OIL TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Prices continue to hover above the 50%Fibonacci expansion at 83.76.A break below that exposes 80.00 figure and the 61.8% level at 7978. Resistance is at 86.95, marked by a falling trend line set from the September 14 high and reinforced by the 38.2% Fib 87.66. A push above that aims for the 90.00 figure and the 23.6% expansion at 92.53.

Forex_Analysis_US_Dollar_Springs_Higher_as_SP_500_Sinks_Past_Support_body_Picture_8.png, Forex Analysis: US Dollar Springs Higher as S&P 500 Sinks Past Support

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

--- Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist for Dailyfx.com

To contact Ilya, e-mail ispivak@dailyfx.com. Follow Ilya on Twitter at @IlyaSpivak

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DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

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