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Forex Analysis: US Dollar Holding at Key Support as S&P 500 Tests 1400

Forex Analysis: US Dollar Holding at Key Support as S&P 500 Tests 1400

2012-10-30 07:23:00
Ilya Spivak, Head Strategist, APAC
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THE TAKEAWAY: The US Dollar has held up at key support following a corrective pullback as the S&P 500 inches lower to put pressure on the 1400 figure.

US DOLLAR Prices remain wedged between resistance-turned-support at the upper boundary of a falling channel set from the June 1 high (9892) the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement at 9963. A break higher exposes the 50% Fib at 10032. Alternatively, a drop below support targets rising trend line support at 9862.

Forex_Analysis_US_Dollar_Holding_at_Key_Support_as_SP_500_Tests_1400_body_Picture_5.png, Forex Analysis: US Dollar Holding at Key Support as S&P 500 Tests 1400

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

S&P 500 – Prices are stalling above the psychologically significant 1400 figure, a barrier reinforced by the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement at 1394.30. Initial resistance lines up in the 1424.90-1425.10 area, with a break above that exposing the underside of a rising channel set from early June (now at 1438.40). Alternatively, a drop below 1394.30 targets the 50% Fib at 1369.40.

Forex_Analysis_US_Dollar_Holding_at_Key_Support_as_SP_500_Tests_1400_body_Picture_6.png, Forex Analysis: US Dollar Holding at Key Support as S&P 500 Tests 1400

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

GOLD Prices put in a Bullish Engulfing candlestick pattern above support at 1693.06, the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, hinting a bounce may be ahead. Initial resistance lines up at a falling trend line set from the October 5 swing high (1713.51). A break above that exposes the 1732.33-35.65 area, marked by a horizontal pivot level and the 23.6% Fib. Alternatively, a drop below support targets the 50% level at 1661.32.

Forex_Analysis_US_Dollar_Holding_at_Key_Support_as_SP_500_Tests_1400_body_Picture_7.png, Forex Analysis: US Dollar Holding at Key Support as S&P 500 Tests 1400

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

Want to learn more about RSI? Watch this Video.

CRUDE OIL Prices are stalling above the 85.00 figure, a barrier reinforced by the 50%Fibonacci expansion at 83.76. Initial resistance lines up at 87.66, the 38.2% Fib, with a break above that targeting a falling trend line set from late September (now at 91.60). Alternatively, a break below 83.76 targets the 80.00 figure and 61.8% level at 79.84.

Forex_Analysis_US_Dollar_Holding_at_Key_Support_as_SP_500_Tests_1400_body_Picture_8.png, Forex Analysis: US Dollar Holding at Key Support as S&P 500 Tests 1400

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

--- Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist for Dailyfx.com

To contact Ilya, e-mail ispivak@dailyfx.com. Follow Ilya on Twitter at @IlyaSpivak

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