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S&P 500 Stalls at Familiar Resitance, Dollar Waiting for Follow-Through

S&P 500 Stalls at Familiar Resitance, Dollar Waiting for Follow-Through

2012-04-19 04:44:00
Ilya Spivak, Head Strategist, APAC

THE TAKEAWAY: The US Dollar is waiting for bullish follow-through as prices drift along rising trend support while the S&P 500 remains capped by familiar range resistance.

S&P 500 – Prices are retesting support-turned-resistance in the 1391.20-1392.10 area marked by the 50% Fibonacci retracement and the former neckline of a Head and Shoulders top pattern. A break above this boundary initially exposes the 61.8% level at 1399.10. Initial support lines up at 1383.20, the 38.2% Fib, with breach below that seeing near-term support at 1373.30.

SP_500_Stalls_at_Familiar_Resitance_Dollar_Waiting_for_Follow-Through_body_Picture_5.png, S&P 500 Stalls at Familiar Resitance, Dollar Waiting for Follow-Through

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

SP_500_Stalls_at_Familiar_Resitance_Dollar_Waiting_for_Follow-Through_body_Picture_6.png, S&P 500 Stalls at Familiar Resitance, Dollar Waiting for Follow-Through

Weekly Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

CRUDE OIL Prices are testing resistance at 104.90 after putting in a Bullish Engulfing candlestick above rising trend line support set from mid-December. A break above this level exposes falling trend line barriers at 105.41 and 106.56. Support is now at 101.38.

SP_500_Stalls_at_Familiar_Resitance_Dollar_Waiting_for_Follow-Through_body_Picture_7.png, S&P 500 Stalls at Familiar Resitance, Dollar Waiting for Follow-Through

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

GOLD Prices are testing support at 1638.02, the 23.6% Fibonacci expansion, after putting in a Bearish Engulfing candlestick pattern below falling trend line resistance set from early March. A break lower exposes the 38.2% level at 1612.02. Trend line resistance is now at 1669.50.

SP_500_Stalls_at_Familiar_Resitance_Dollar_Waiting_for_Follow-Through_body_Picture_8.png, S&P 500 Stalls at Familiar Resitance, Dollar Waiting for Follow-Through

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

US DOLLAR Prices put in a bullish Piercing Line candlestick pattern above rising trend line support set from early February, hinting a move higher is ahead. Initial resistance stands at 9996, the 50% Fibonacci expansion level. Trend line support is now at 9923.

SP_500_Stalls_at_Familiar_Resitance_Dollar_Waiting_for_Follow-Through_body_Picture_9.png, S&P 500 Stalls at Familiar Resitance, Dollar Waiting for Follow-Through

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

--- Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist for Dailyfx.com

To contact Ilya, e-mail ispivak@dailyfx.com. Follow Ilya on Twitter at @IlyaSpivak

To be added to Ilya's e-mail distribution list, send a note with subject line "Distribution List" to ispivak@dailyfx.com

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