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US Dollar Recovers as S&P 500 Chart Setup Warns of Weakness Ahead

US Dollar Recovers as S&P 500 Chart Setup Warns of Weakness Ahead

2012-02-06 03:55:00
Ilya Spivak, Head Strategist, APAC
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THE TAKEAWAY: S&P 500 technical positioning warns of a reversal lower as prices test trend-defining resistance, hinting a recovery in the safe-haven US Dollar will continue.

S&P 500 – Prices are testing trend-defining resistance in the 1346.90-1362.90 area, with a break higher negating the bearish tone of overall positioning established since the index topped out in May. Negative RSI divergence warns of ebbing bullish momentum, hinting a pullback is ahead. The first layer of significant support lines up at 1305.40.

US_Dollar_Recovers_as_SP_500_Chart_Setup_Warns_of_Weakness_Ahead_body_Picture_5.png, US Dollar Recovers as S&P 500 Chart Setup Warns of Weakness Ahead

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

CRUDE OIL Prices recovered from resistance-turned-supportat top of a falling channel set from mid-November to retest the broken range bottom at 97.70. A break back higher exposes 101.28. Alternatively, renewed selling sees channel top support at 95.40, with a break below this boundary initially targeting the 93.90-93.35 area.

US_Dollar_Recovers_as_SP_500_Chart_Setup_Warns_of_Weakness_Ahead_body_Picture_6.png, US Dollar Recovers as S&P 500 Chart Setup Warns of Weakness Ahead

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

GOLD Prices put in a Bearish Engulfing candlestick pattern below resistance at 1763.00, warning that further losses are head. Initial support lines up at 1724.10 marked by a former channel top, with a break below that exposing 1702.90.

US_Dollar_Recovers_as_SP_500_Chart_Setup_Warns_of_Weakness_Ahead_body_Picture_7.png, US Dollar Recovers as S&P 500 Chart Setup Warns of Weakness Ahead

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

US DOLLAR Prices are recovering following a test of 9679, a barrier that has acted as significant support and resistance since August. Initial Andrew’s Pitchfork bottom resistance lines up at 9759, with a break above that initially targeting 9823.

US_Dollar_Recovers_as_SP_500_Chart_Setup_Warns_of_Weakness_Ahead_body_Picture_8.png, US Dollar Recovers as S&P 500 Chart Setup Warns of Weakness Ahead

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

--- Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist for Dailyfx.com

To contact Ilya, e-mail ispivak@dailyfx.com. Follow me on Twitter at @IlyaSpivak

To be added to Ilya's e-mail distribution list, send a note with subject line "Distribution List" to ispivak@dailyfx.com

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