News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site.

0

Notifications

Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events

0

Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

0
Free Trading Guides
Subscribe
Please try again
EUR/USD
Mixed
Oil - US Crude
Bullish
Wall Street
Bearish
Gold
Mixed
GBP/USD
Mixed
USD/JPY
Mixed
More View more
Real Time News
  • RT @FxWestwater: New Zealand Dollar Forecast: $NZDUSD Unscathed as #RBNZ Holds Course Link: https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/market_alert/2021/04/14/New-Zealand-Dollar-Forecast-NZDUSD-Unscathed-as-RBNZ-Holds-Course.html?CHID=9&QPID=917708&utm_source=Twitter&utm_medium=Westwater&utm_campaign=twr https://t.co/5Qh0nRIKDa
  • The Euro has regained lost ground against its major counterparts recently. Are further gains in the offing or is this just a short-term countertrend correction? EUR/USD, EUR/JPY, EUR/GBP, EUR/NZD key levels. Get your market update from @DanielGMoss here:https://t.co/BK1ezTva9R https://t.co/JcrxdRvyaX
  • Commodities Update: As of 02:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: Oil - US Crude: 0.64% Silver: 0.31% Gold: 0.02% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#commodities https://t.co/VrRa1mL8ge
  • Forex Update: As of 02:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: 🇯🇵JPY: 0.15% 🇪🇺EUR: 0.07% 🇬🇧GBP: 0.03% 🇨🇭CHF: 0.02% 🇦🇺AUD: 0.01% 🇨🇦CAD: -0.09% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#currencies https://t.co/zQkfCDgAJQ
  • $NZDUSD just a touch lower after the #RBNZ rate announcement after policy settings were left unchanged https://t.co/i2BolXsSrE https://t.co/dxWNxNJ076
  • RBNZ: Less government bond issuance placing less pressure on yields, weekly changes in LSAP don't represent policy shift -BBG
  • RBNZ: Growth outlook remains highly uncertain, committee saw risks to economic outlook as remaining balanced -BBG
  • RBNZ: Meeting requirements will take time and patience, assessments of remit change to be included in May FSR -BBG
  • RBNZ: Prepared to lower rate if required, will maintain stimulatory settings until CPI at midpoint -BBG
  • RBNZ maintains benchmark interest rate at 0.25% and bond purchase program at NZD100b -BBG $NZDUSD #NZD
S&P 500 Bounce Appears Corrective So Far, Weakness Favored Ahead

S&P 500 Bounce Appears Corrective So Far, Weakness Favored Ahead

Ilya Spivak, Head Strategist, APAC

THE TAKEAWAYThe S&P 500 bounced aggressively higher but the advance appears corrective in the scope of a larger top in the works, with renewed selling expected ahead.

S&P 500 – Prices bounced from 23.6% Fibonacci retracement support at 1302.90, with the bulls retesting the previously broken rising trend line set from late December as resistance. A break above the January 26 high at 1334.40 is needed to overturn near-term bearish cues.

SP_500_Bounce_Appears_Corrective_So_Far_Weakness_Favored_Ahead_body_Picture_5.png, S&P 500 Bounce Appears Corrective So Far, Weakness Favored Ahead

8hr Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

CRUDE OIL After a month of standstill, prices appear to have finally made a directional break with a close below support at 97.70, with sellers now aiming to challenge the top of a falling channel set from mid-November now recast as support (95.65). The 97.70 level is now acting as near-term resistance.

SP_500_Bounce_Appears_Corrective_So_Far_Weakness_Favored_Ahead_body_Picture_6.png, S&P 500 Bounce Appears Corrective So Far, Weakness Favored Ahead

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

GOLD Prices are testing above resistance at 1746.10, with a confirmed break on a daily close above the level exposing 1802.80. However, negative RSI divergence warns that bullish momentum is fading and hints a reversal is ahead. Near-term term support lines up at 1716.17, a previously broken rising channel top.

SP_500_Bounce_Appears_Corrective_So_Far_Weakness_Favored_Ahead_body_Picture_7.png, S&P 500 Bounce Appears Corrective So Far, Weakness Favored Ahead

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

US DOLLAR Prices have dropped to support at 9684, the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. This barrier is reinforced by major pivot support at 9679, a barrier that has acted as significant support and resistance since August. Signs of positive RSI divergence on intraday charts (not shown) hint a bounce may be ahead, but confirmation is absent for now. The 50% Fib at 9759 marks initial resistance.

SP_500_Bounce_Appears_Corrective_So_Far_Weakness_Favored_Ahead_body_Picture_8.png, S&P 500 Bounce Appears Corrective So Far, Weakness Favored Ahead

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

--- Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist for Dailyfx.com

To contact Ilya, e-mail ispivak@dailyfx.com. Follow me on Twitter at @IlyaSpivak

To be added to Ilya's e-mail distribution list, send a note with subject line "Distribution List" to ispivak@dailyfx.com

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES