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US Dollar Buying Reappears, GBP/USD Shorts Pick Up - COT Report

US Dollar Buying Reappears, GBP/USD Shorts Pick Up - COT Report

Justin McQueen, Analyst

US Dollar, EUR/USD, GBP/USD, COT Report –Analysis

The Predictive Power of the COT Report

How to Read the CFTC Report

US Dollar Buying Reappears, GBP/USD Shorts Pick Up - COT Report

Source: CFTC, DailyFX (Covers up to Apr 28th, released May 1st)

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US Dollar Buying Reappears, GBP/USD Shorts Pick Up - COT Report

The latest CFTC data shows that speculators have begun to unwind their bearish bets in the US Dollar after 8 consecutive weeks of selling. In turn, net shorts were cut by over $1.2bln against G10 currencies to just below $10bln. As economies begin to re-open the markets are focusing on how the recovery will look like following lockdown measures. However, with the global growth outlook remaining fragile and tensions flaring up between the US and China, the USD supportive environment remains intact.

Safe-haven currencies were once again in demand with investors raising their net longs in the Japanese Yen by a sizeable $762mln. That said, while CHF net longs saw a slight increase, investors are noticeably hesitant in significantly extending their net long exposure given that the SNB is increasingly active in defending EUR/CHF at 1.05.

The largest weekly positioning change had been observed in the Euro, where net shorts were cut by $1.06bln. This had largely been led through the uptick in outright shorts. Elsewhere, speculators are growing increasingly bearish on the Pound with net shorts rising by $413mln after a 23% jump in outright shorts (the largest increase in shorts since the week through to March 17th).

Both the AUD & CAD saw a modest increase in net shorts ($262mln and $394mln respectively), further highlighting that speculators are currently risk-averse. This however, is despite the price action observed in the past week, which saw the USD under pressure from month-end rebalancing.

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US Dollar | Net Shorts Beginning to Unwind

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EUR/USD | Outright Shorts Picking Up

Please add a description for the image.US Dollar Buying Reappears, GBP/USD Shorts Pick Up - COT Report

GBP/USD | Investors Raising Bearish Bets on the Pound

Please add a description for the image.US Dollar Buying Reappears, GBP/USD Shorts Pick Up - COT Report

USD/JPY | Japanese Yen Remains in Demand

Please add a description for the image.US Dollar Buying Reappears, GBP/USD Shorts Pick Up - COT Report

USD/CHF | SNB Intervention Leave Speculators Hesitant to Add Long Exposure

Please add a description for the image.US Dollar Buying Reappears, GBP/USD Shorts Pick Up - COT Report

USD/CAD | Downside Risks Remain for CAD

Please add a description for the image.US Dollar Buying Reappears, GBP/USD Shorts Pick Up - COT Report

AUD/USD | Australian Dollar Sentiment Continues to Deteriorate

Please add a description for the image.US Dollar Buying Reappears, GBP/USD Shorts Pick Up - COT Report

NZD/USD | Recent Rally in NZD at Risk

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For a more in-depth analysis on FX, check out the FX Forecast

--- Written by Justin McQueen, Market Analyst

Follow Justin on Twitter @JMcQueenFX

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

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