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Japanese Yen Increasingly Bullish, US Dollar Longs Cut - COT Report

Japanese Yen Increasingly Bullish, US Dollar Longs Cut - COT Report

Justin McQueen, Analyst

COT Report – Analysis and Talking Points

  • US Dollar longs once again reduced
  • Investors Seek Haven Currencies (JPY, CHF)
  • Euro Bearish Sentiment to Grow Ahead of ECB

The Predictive Power of the COT Report

Japanese Yen Increasingly Bullish, US Dollar Longs Cut - COT Report

Source: CFTC DailyFX (Covers up to August 27th, released August 30th)

Japanese Yen Increasingly Bullish, US Dollar Longs Cut – COT Report

The latest CFTC positioning data shows another moderation in US Dollar bullish positions as net longs were reduced by $816mln to $13.682bln vs. G10 currencies. However, the broad changes in positioning has been relatively modest in the week to August 27th.

Japanese Yen net longs continue to rise as investors added $300mln worth of bullish bets, taking the total to $3.9bln. While this is notably elevated, this is still some way from the recent peak of $8.5bln in 2016. Elsewhere, speculators test the nerve of the SNB as CHF net shorts are cut by $937mln to $484mln, keep in mind that this is at a time where the SNB have become increasingly active in stemming the gains in the Swiss Franc.

GBP/USD shorts eased yet again, however, the weekly change had been marginal at best, sentiment remains very negative on the Pound with net shorts totaling $6.8bln. Positioning in the Euro was relatively unchanged, however, following the break below 1.10 and with the ECB September meeting ahead, sentiment in the Euro is to remain bearish.;

US Dollar

Japanese Yen Increasingly Bullish, US Dollar Longs Cut - COT Report

EUR/USD

Japanese Yen Increasingly Bullish, US Dollar Longs Cut - COT ReportJapanese Yen Increasingly Bullish, US Dollar Longs Cut - COT Report

GBP/USD

Japanese Yen Increasingly Bullish, US Dollar Longs Cut - COT ReportJapanese Yen Increasingly Bullish, US Dollar Longs Cut - COT Report

USD/JPY

Japanese Yen Increasingly Bullish, US Dollar Longs Cut - COT ReportJapanese Yen Increasingly Bullish, US Dollar Longs Cut - COT Report

USD/CHF

Japanese Yen Increasingly Bullish, US Dollar Longs Cut - COT ReportJapanese Yen Increasingly Bullish, US Dollar Longs Cut - COT Report

USD/CAD

Japanese Yen Increasingly Bullish, US Dollar Longs Cut - COT ReportJapanese Yen Increasingly Bullish, US Dollar Longs Cut - COT Report

AUD/USD

Japanese Yen Increasingly Bullish, US Dollar Longs Cut - COT ReportJapanese Yen Increasingly Bullish, US Dollar Longs Cut - COT Report

NZD/USD

Japanese Yen Increasingly Bullish, US Dollar Longs Cut - COT ReportJapanese Yen Increasingly Bullish, US Dollar Longs Cut - COT Report

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