Talking Points:

  • The ASX 200 is climbing again
  • Range trade has given way to a new upside channel
  • That channel will take it up to 6000, however, and there bulls should probably worry

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The ASX 200 broke out of its ascending channel to the downside mid month, but price action since suggests that its subsequent consolidation may have been mere prelude to another upward foray.

The index has been admittedly rangebound since, trading between. April 16 and 17’s intraday low of 5831.1 and the intraday high of April 23 and 19 at 5904.9. At the time of writing (0100 GMT Tuesday) that range is history, if only just with the index a bare half dozen points above the top.

ASX 200 Technical Analysis:  Respect New Uptrend For Now

If it can close above there, then the 5934-5971 region last traded in mid-March could form the next target for the bulls. However above that the 6,000 level beckons and that barrier has proved too much for the index so often, both in the recent past and, indeed, for the past decade, that it’s probably wise to expect plenty of cashing out should it get there again.

Downside support may come in at the base of a new, nascent uptrend channel, which is at 5857.8 on Tuesday. Below that there is likely to be a cluster of near-term props forming in sum a band between April 10’s highs around 5848 and April 2’s closing low of 5686.

ASX 200 Technical Analysis:  Respect New Uptrend For Now

Still the uptrend should probably be respected for the moment, with the ASX currently in the middle of it. The Sydney stock benchmark’s simple moving averages fail to suggest anything obviously amiss, with the 20-50- and 100 day version in rank order and nicely spaced. The index’s Relative Strength Index is nudging higher, as you’d probably expect given the nice little run-up seen this month. However at a stolid 59 it doesn’t suggest any vicious overbuying.

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--- Written by David Cottle, DailyFX Research

Follow David on Twitter@DavidCottleFX or use the Comments section below to get in touch!