News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site.

0

Notifications

Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events

0

Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

0
Free Trading Guides
Subscribe
Please try again
EUR/USD
Bearish
Oil - US Crude
Bullish
Wall Street
Bearish
Gold
Bearish
GBP/USD
Mixed
USD/JPY
Bullish
More View more
Real Time News
  • USD/CAD put in a test at the 1.2500 psychological level last week, but bulls following the falling wedge for topside breakouts may have to wait for a bit longer. Get your $USDCAD market update from @JStanleyFX here:https://t.co/81i2hiJT53 https://t.co/G0tuoC80CH
  • Gold continues its decline, now trading below $1,700 $XAUUSD https://t.co/PbAygJY9Yt
  • $USDJPY in full on bull mode longer-term, a really strong breakout from the falling wedge formation https://t.co/FDaE6Qzbfj https://t.co/23ubngiXnQ
  • USD/CHF sharply higher, extending recent gains https://t.co/sEukWUYhBU
  • Canadian Dollar Price Forecast: USD/CAD Holds Support as USD Drives https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/fundamental/daily_briefing/session_briefing/daily_fundamentals/2021/03/04/Canadian-Dollar-Price-Forecast-USDCAD-USD-CAD-Holds-Support-as-USD-Drives.html $USDCAD https://t.co/pw7XkF7F7n
  • USD/RUB sharply higher as President Biden places sanctions on Russia $USD $RUB https://t.co/44yZ3qi0ci
  • AUD/USD lower off the back of Fed Chair Jerome Powell's speech https://t.co/Sh1WWLEsKE
  • $USDCAD, $AUDUSD Near-term Technical Setups - https://t.co/HOOdZz6IIF https://t.co/DRiqmlKXHg
  • Commodities Update: As of 19:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: Oil - US Crude: -0.11% Gold: -0.91% Silver: -3.20% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#commodities https://t.co/u41nMRKgOj
  • A pretty clean break from $SPX and other risk-sensitive assets are following along. As Hans Landa said in Inglorious Basterds: "Ooooooo. That's a Bingo" https://t.co/fLqS3kL8li
COT: Euro Large Specs Sell, New Zealand Dollar Long Position at Multi-year High

COT: Euro Large Specs Sell, New Zealand Dollar Long Position at Multi-year High

Paul Robinson, Strategist

What’s inside:

  • Euro large speculators net sellers for the first time in two months
  • New Zealand dollar net long positioning pops to highest level in over four years
  • Crude oil traders dump contracts for a second week in a row, net long position still historically large

The COT report is a longer-term sentiment indicator – for a short-term view on sentiment, check out IG Client Sentiment data.

The Commitment of Traders (COT) report is released every Friday, showing market positioning of futures traders as it stands for the week ending on Tuesday. In the table below are the net positions of large speculators (i.e. hedge funds, CTAs, etc.), the change from the prior week, and where the net position stands relative to its 52-week range.

COT: Euro Large Specs Sell, New Zealand Dollar Long Position at Multi-year High

Noteworthy developments

Euro – The net change by large speculators in the euro declined for the first time in two months. It was the largest reduction since October 2015. While the euro has remained relatively unchanged over the past month, it appears large market participants have lost some of their confidence in the single-currency. It’s a reduction from levels not seen since 2011; a relief which could help reload for another move higher as long as price support can continue to hold in the low 11100s.

COT: Euro Large Specs Sell, New Zealand Dollar Long Position at Multi-year High

New Zealand dollar – Large speculators increased their net position by 19860 contracts, the largest weekly jump as far back as data is available. At 21455 contracts, the current net position is the largest since kiwi rolled over back in 2013. After a 500-pip rally in just six weeks, both price and positioning have reached extremes, skewing risk to the down-side.

COT: Euro Large Specs Sell, New Zealand Dollar Long Position at Multi-year High

WTI crude oil – Large specs reduced their still hefty net long position for a second week in a row. At nearly 329k contracts it is well off the record high of 557k contracts seen in February, but still remains historically high.

COT: Euro Large Specs Sell, New Zealand Dollar Long Position at Multi-year High

Other futures contracts and large speculator positioning:

COT: Euro Large Specs Sell, New Zealand Dollar Long Position at Multi-year HighCOT: Euro Large Specs Sell, New Zealand Dollar Long Position at Multi-year HighCOT: Euro Large Specs Sell, New Zealand Dollar Long Position at Multi-year HighCOT: Euro Large Specs Sell, New Zealand Dollar Long Position at Multi-year HighCOT: Euro Large Specs Sell, New Zealand Dollar Long Position at Multi-year HighCOT: Euro Large Specs Sell, New Zealand Dollar Long Position at Multi-year HighCOT: Euro Large Specs Sell, New Zealand Dollar Long Position at Multi-year HighCOT: Euro Large Specs Sell, New Zealand Dollar Long Position at Multi-year HighCOT: Euro Large Specs Sell, New Zealand Dollar Long Position at Multi-year HighCOT: Euro Large Specs Sell, New Zealand Dollar Long Position at Multi-year High

Paul conducts webinars every week from Tuesday-Friday. See the Webinar Calendar for details, and the full line-up of all upcoming live events.

---Written by Paul Robinson, Market Analyst

You can receive Paul’s analysis directly via email by signing up here.

You can follow Paul on Twitter at @PaulRobinonFX.

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES