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COT-Crude Oil Positioning Remains Extreme

COT-Crude Oil Positioning Remains Extreme

Jamie Saettele, CMT, Sr. Technical Strategist

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Talking Points:

  • JPY positioning starts to moderate
  • Gold specs not buying the rally…yet
  • Crude oil ownership profile still extreme

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The COT Index is the difference between net speculative positioning and net commercial positioning measured. A blue colored bar indicates that the difference in positioning is the greatest it has been in 52 weeks (bullish) with speculators selling and commercials buying. A red colored bar indicates that the difference in positioning is the greatest it has been in 52 weeks (bearish) with speculators buying and commercials selling. Non-commercials tend to be on the wrong side at the turn and commercials the correct side. Use of the index is covered closely in detail in my book.

Latest CFTC Release dated January 10, 2017

Week (Data for Tuesdays)
US Dollar88
Euro69
British Pound43
Australian Dollar10
Japanese Yen4
Canadian Dollar56
Swiss Franc18
Mexican Peso14
Gold12
Silver51
Copper92
Crude96

Charts (all charts are continuous contract)

Non Commercials (speculators) – Red

Commercials – Blue

Small Speculators – Black

COTDiff (COT Index) – Black

Volume-Red

US Dollar ICEUS Continuous Contract

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Euro CME Continuous Contract

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

British Pound CME Continuous Contract

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Australian DollarCME Continuous Contract

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Japanese YenCME Continuous Contract

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Canadian DollarCME Continuous Contract

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Swiss Franc CME Continuous Contract

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Mexican Peso CME Continuous Contract

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Gold COMEX Continuous Contract

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Silver COMEX Continuous Contract

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Copper COMEX Continuous Contract

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Crude Oil NYMEX Continuous Contract

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

--- Written by Jamie Saettele, CMT, Senior Technical Strategist for DailyFX.com

To contact Jamie e-mail jsaettele@dailyfx.com. Follow him on Twitter @JamieSaettele.

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES