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COT-Biggest Change in Crude Positioning in 8 Years

COT-Biggest Change in Crude Positioning in 8 Years

2016-09-12 19:59:00
Jamie Saettele, CMT, Sr. Technical Strategist
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  • Speculators pile into gold again
  • Record open interest in silver and copper again
  • Biggest 1 week change in crude positioning since January 2008

For more analysis and trade setups, visit SB Trade Desk

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The COT Index is the difference between net speculative positioning and net commercial positioning measured. A blue colored bar indicates that the difference in positioning is the greatest it has been in 52 weeks (bullish) with speculators selling and commercials buying. A red colored bar indicates that the difference in positioning is the greatest it has been in 52 weeks (bearish) with speculators buying and commercials selling. Non-commercials tend to be on the wrong side at the turn and commercials the correct side. Use of the index is covered closely in detail in my book.

Latest CFTC Release dated September 6, 2016

Week (Data for Tuesdays)

52 week Percentile

US Dollar

47

Euro

35

British Pound

8

Australian Dollar

88

Japanese Yen

61

Canadian Dollar

88

Swiss Franc

61

Mexican Peso

25

Gold

98

Silver

90

Copper

35

Crude

61

Charts (all charts are continuous contract)

Non Commercials (speculators) – Red

Commercials – Blue

Small Speculators – Black

COTDiff (COT Index) – Black

US Dollar ICEUS Continuous Contract

COT-Biggest Change in Crude Positioning in 8 Years

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Euro CME Continuous Contract

COT-Biggest Change in Crude Positioning in 8 Years

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

British Pound CME Continuous Contract

COT-Biggest Change in Crude Positioning in 8 Years

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Australian DollarCME Continuous Contract

COT-Biggest Change in Crude Positioning in 8 Years

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Japanese YenCME Continuous Contract

COT-Biggest Change in Crude Positioning in 8 Years

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Canadian DollarCME Continuous Contract

COT-Biggest Change in Crude Positioning in 8 Years

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Swiss Franc CME Continuous Contract

COT-Biggest Change in Crude Positioning in 8 Years

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Mexican Peso CME Continuous Contract

COT-Biggest Change in Crude Positioning in 8 Years

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Gold COMEX Continuous Contract

COT-Biggest Change in Crude Positioning in 8 Years

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Silver COMEX Continuous Contract

COT-Biggest Change in Crude Positioning in 8 Years

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Copper COMEX Continuous Contract

COT-Biggest Change in Crude Positioning in 8 Years

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Crude Oil NYMEX Continuous Contract

COT-Biggest Change in Crude Positioning in 8 Years

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Crude Oil NYMEX Continuous Contract

COT-Biggest Change in Crude Positioning in 8 Years

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

The plot below price is the 1 week change in aggregated commercial and speculative positions. A high reading indicates strong speculative buying and strong commercial selling and warns of a market top. A low reading indicates strong speculative selling and strong commercial buying and warns of a market bottom. The current reading for this indicator has only been registered twice before; in November 2007 and January 2008. The latter date was an important low.

--- Written by Jamie Saettele, CMT, Senior Technical Strategist for DailyFX.com

To contact Jamie e-mail jsaettele@dailyfx.com. Follow me on Twitter for real time updates @JamieSaettele

Jamie is the author of Sentiment in the Forex Market and co-founder of SB Trade Desk.

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

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