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COT: Copper and MXN are Extreme; Crude Specs are Still Long

COT: Copper and MXN are Extreme; Crude Specs are Still Long

Jamie Saettele, CMT, Sr. Technical Strategist
  • MXN large speculators hold largest short position since at least 2002
  • Copper positioning is extreme
  • Crude specs (large and small) are still long!

Latest CFTC Release dated December 30, 2014:

Week (Data for Tuesdays)

52 week Percentile

US Dollar

90

Euro

24

British Pound

8

Australian Dollar

18

Japanese Yen

26

Canadian Dollar

65

Swiss Franc

22

Mexican Peso

0

Gold

65

Silver

69

Copper

4

Crude

16

The COT Index is the difference between net speculative positioning and net commercial positioning measured. A blue colored bar indicates that the difference in positioning is the greatest it has been in 52 weeks (bullish) with speculators selling and commercials buying. A red colored bar indicates that the difference in positioning is the greatest it has been in 52 weeks (bearish) with speculators buying and commercials selling. Non commercials tend to be on the wrong side at the turn and commercials the correct side. Use of the index is covered closely in detail in my book.

Charts (all charts are continuous contract)

Non Commercials (speculators) – Red

Commercials – Blue

Small Speculators – Black

COTDiff (COT Index) – Black

US Dollar

COT: Copper and MXN are Extreme; Crude Specs are Still Long

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Euro

COT: Copper and MXN are Extreme; Crude Specs are Still Long

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

British Pound

COT: Copper and MXN are Extreme; Crude Specs are Still Long

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Australian Dollar

COT: Copper and MXN are Extreme; Crude Specs are Still Long

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Japanese Yen

COT: Copper and MXN are Extreme; Crude Specs are Still Long

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Canadian Dollar

COT: Copper and MXN are Extreme; Crude Specs are Still Long

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Swiss Franc

COT: Copper and MXN are Extreme; Crude Specs are Still Long

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Mexican Peso

COT: Copper and MXN are Extreme; Crude Specs are Still Long

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Gold

COT: Copper and MXN are Extreme; Crude Specs are Still Long

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Silver

COT: Copper and MXN are Extreme; Crude Specs are Still Long

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Copper

COT: Copper and MXN are Extreme; Crude Specs are Still Long

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Crude

COT: Copper and MXN are Extreme; Crude Specs are Still Long

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

--- Written by Jamie Saettele, CMT, Senior Technical Strategist for DailyFX.com

To contact Jamie e-mail jsaettele@dailyfx.com. Follow me on Twitter for real time updates @JamieSaettele

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Jamie is the author of Sentiment in the Forex Market.

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

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