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COT: Copper and MXN are Extreme; Crude Specs are Still Long

COT: Copper and MXN are Extreme; Crude Specs are Still Long

Jamie Saettele, CMT, Sr. Technical Strategist
  • MXN large speculators hold largest short position since at least 2002
  • Copper positioning is extreme
  • Crude specs (large and small) are still long!

Latest CFTC Release dated December 30, 2014:

Week (Data for Tuesdays)
US Dollar90
Euro24
British Pound8
Australian Dollar18
Japanese Yen26
Canadian Dollar65
Swiss Franc22
Mexican Peso0
Gold65
Silver69
Copper4
Crude16

The COT Index is the difference between net speculative positioning and net commercial positioning measured. A blue colored bar indicates that the difference in positioning is the greatest it has been in 52 weeks (bullish) with speculators selling and commercials buying. A red colored bar indicates that the difference in positioning is the greatest it has been in 52 weeks (bearish) with speculators buying and commercials selling. Non commercials tend to be on the wrong side at the turn and commercials the correct side. Use of the index is covered closely in detail in my book.

Charts (all charts are continuous contract)

Non Commercials (speculators) – Red

Commercials – Blue

Small Speculators – Black

COTDiff (COT Index) – Black

US Dollar

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Euro

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

British Pound

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Australian Dollar

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Japanese Yen

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Canadian Dollar

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Swiss Franc

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Mexican Peso

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Gold

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Silver

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Copper

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Crude

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

--- Written by Jamie Saettele, CMT, Senior Technical Strategist for DailyFX.com

To contact Jamie e-mail jsaettele@dailyfx.com. Follow me on Twitter for real time updates @JamieSaettele

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Jamie is the author of Sentiment in the Forex Market.

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

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