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COT: Yen Speculators Caught Off Guard

COT: Yen Speculators Caught Off Guard

Jamie Saettele, CMT, Sr. Technical Strategist
  • Euro, Swiss Franc, and Crude positioning are at extremes
  • Yen speculators get burned
  • Gold specs caught wrong-footed

Latest CFTC Release dated October 28, 2014:

Week (Data for Tuesdays)

52 week Percentile

US Dollar

94

Euro

0

British Pound

4

Australian Dollar

33

Japanese Yen

73

Canadian Dollar

51

Swiss Franc

0

Mexican Peso

6

Gold

61

Silver

8

Copper

20

Crude

0

The COT Index is the difference between net speculative positioning and net commercial positioning measured. A blue colored bar indicates that the difference in positioning is the greatest it has been in 52 weeks (bullish) with speculators selling and commercials buying. A red colored bar indicates that the difference in positioning is the greatest it has been in 52 weeks (bearish) with speculators buying and commercials selling. Non commercials tend to be on the wrong side at the turn and commercials the correct side. Use of the index is covered closely in detail in my book.

Charts (all charts are continuous contract)

Non Commercials (speculators) – Red

Commercials – Blue

Small Speculators – Black

COTDiff (COT Index) – Black

US Dollar

COT: Yen Speculators Caught Off Guard

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Euro

COT: Yen Speculators Caught Off Guard

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

British Pound

COT: Yen Speculators Caught Off Guard

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Australian Dollar

COT: Yen Speculators Caught Off Guard

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Japanese Yen

COT: Yen Speculators Caught Off Guard

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Canadian Dollar

COT: Yen Speculators Caught Off Guard

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Swiss Franc

COT: Yen Speculators Caught Off Guard

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Mexican Peso

COT: Yen Speculators Caught Off Guard

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Gold

COT: Yen Speculators Caught Off Guard

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Silver

COT: Yen Speculators Caught Off Guard

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Copper

COT: Yen Speculators Caught Off Guard

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Crude

COT: Yen Speculators Caught Off Guard

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

--- Written by Jamie Saettele, CMT, Senior Technical Strategist for DailyFX.com

To contact Jamie e-mail jsaettele@dailyfx.com. Follow me on Twitter for real time updates @JamieSaettele

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Jamie is the author of Sentiment in the Forex Market.

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

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