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US Dollar COT Positioning is Similar to Early 2013 Situation

US Dollar COT Positioning is Similar to Early 2013 Situation

2014-03-24 19:19:00
Jamie Saettele, CMT, Sr. Technical Strategist
  • USD COT index at lowest level since January 2013
  • CHF speculative longs at highest level since December 2012
  • Gold specs hold largest long position since April 2013

Latest CFTC Release dated March 18, 2014:

Week (Data for Tuesdays)

52 week Percentile / Comment (if applicable)

US Dollar

0-COT index is at lowest level since early January 2013

Euro

88

British Pound

96

Australian Dollar

78

Japanese Yen

100

Canadian Dollar

10

Swiss Franc

100- COT index is at highest level since early January 2013

Mexican Peso

18

Gold

98

Silver

94

Copper

12

Crude

92

The COT Index is the difference between net speculative positioning and net commercial positioning measured. A light blue colored bar indicates that the difference in positioning is the greatest it has been in 52 weeks (bullish) with speculators selling and commercials buying. A light red colored bar indicates that the difference in positioning is the greatest it has been in 52 weeks (bearish) with speculators buying and commercials selling. Crosses above and below 0 are in bold. Non commercials tend to be on the wrong side at the turn and commercials the correct side. Use of the index is covered closely in detail in my book.

Charts (all charts are continuous contract)

Non Commercials (speculators) – Red

Commercials – Blue

Small Speculators – Black

COTDiff (COT Index) – Black

US Dollar

US Dollar COT Positioning is Similar to Early 2013 Situation

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Euro

US Dollar COT Positioning is Similar to Early 2013 Situation

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

British Pound

US Dollar COT Positioning is Similar to Early 2013 Situation

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Australian Dollar

US Dollar COT Positioning is Similar to Early 2013 Situation

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Japanese Yen

US Dollar COT Positioning is Similar to Early 2013 Situation

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Canadian Dollar

US Dollar COT Positioning is Similar to Early 2013 Situation

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Swiss Franc

US Dollar COT Positioning is Similar to Early 2013 Situation

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Mexican Peso

US Dollar COT Positioning is Similar to Early 2013 Situation

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Gold

US Dollar COT Positioning is Similar to Early 2013 Situation

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Silver

US Dollar COT Positioning is Similar to Early 2013 Situation

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Copper

US Dollar COT Positioning is Similar to Early 2013 Situation

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Crude

US Dollar COT Positioning is Similar to Early 2013 Situation

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

--- Prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT, Senior Technical Strategist for DailyFX.com

To contact Jamie e-mail jsaettele@dailyfx.com. Follow me on Twitter for real time updates @JamieSaettele

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Jamie is the author of Sentiment in the Forex Market.

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

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