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Sentiment Extremes Indicated in USD, GBP, Silver and Crude; Beware

Sentiment Extremes Indicated in USD, GBP, Silver and Crude; Beware

2014-03-04 15:09:00
Jamie Saettele, CMT, Sr. Technical Strategist
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Talking Points:

USD COT index reveals bearish extreme

GBP COT index reveals bullish extreme

• Crude being bought at record levels

Latest CFTC Release dated February 25, 2013:

Week (Data for Tuesdays)

52 week Percentile / Comment (if applicable)

US Dollar

4

Euro

73

British Pound

100

Australian Dollar

55

Japanese Yen

51

Canadian Dollar

35

Swiss Franc

67

Mexican Peso

8

Gold

86

Silver

100

Copper

69

Crude

100

The COT Index is the difference between net speculative positioning and net commercial positioning measured. A light blue colored bar indicates that the difference in positioning is the greatest it has been in 52 weeks (bullish) with speculators selling and commercials buying. A light red colored bar indicates that the difference in positioning is the greatest it has been in 52 weeks (bearish) with speculators buying and commercials selling. Crosses above and below 0 are in bold. Non commercials tend to be on the wrong side at the turn and commercials the correct side. Use of the index is covered closely in detail in my book.

Charts (all charts are continuous contract)

Non Commercials (speculators) – Red

Commercials – Blue

Small Speculators – Black

COTDiff (COT Index) – Black

US Dollar

Sentiment Extremes Indicated in USD, GBP, Silver and Crude; Beware

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Euro

Sentiment Extremes Indicated in USD, GBP, Silver and Crude; Beware

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

British Pound

Sentiment Extremes Indicated in USD, GBP, Silver and Crude; Beware

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Australian Dollar

Sentiment Extremes Indicated in USD, GBP, Silver and Crude; Beware

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Japanese Yen

Sentiment Extremes Indicated in USD, GBP, Silver and Crude; Beware

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Canadian Dollar

Sentiment Extremes Indicated in USD, GBP, Silver and Crude; Beware

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Swiss Franc

Sentiment Extremes Indicated in USD, GBP, Silver and Crude; Beware

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Mexican Peso

Sentiment Extremes Indicated in USD, GBP, Silver and Crude; Beware

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Gold

Sentiment Extremes Indicated in USD, GBP, Silver and Crude; Beware

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Silver

Sentiment Extremes Indicated in USD, GBP, Silver and Crude; Beware

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Copper

Sentiment Extremes Indicated in USD, GBP, Silver and Crude; Beware

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Crude

Sentiment Extremes Indicated in USD, GBP, Silver and Crude; Beware

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

--- Written by Jamie Saettele, CMT, Senior Technical Strategist for DailyFX.com

To contact Jamie e-mail jsaettele@dailyfx.com. Follow me on Twitter for real time updates @JamieSaettele

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Jamie is the author of Sentiment in the Forex Market.

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

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