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Is Crude Oil COT Positioning Poison to Bull Move?

Is Crude Oil COT Positioning Poison to Bull Move?

Jamie Saettele, CMT, Sr. Technical Strategist

View COT data in MT4

Latest CFTC Release dated July 16, 2013:

Week (Data for Tuesdays)

52 week Percentile / Comment (if applicable)

US Dollar

55

Euro

55

British Pound

31

Australian Dollar

2 - 2 weeks removed from most bearish extreme since at least 2004

Japanese Yen

25

Canadian Dollar

33

Swiss Franc

45

Mexican Peso

6

Gold

4 – COT index one week removed from lowest since at least 2004

Silver

14

Copper

16

Crude

100 – record positioning

The COT Index is the difference between net speculative positioning and net commercial positioning measured. A light blue colored bar indicates that the difference in positioning is the greatest it has been in 52 weeks (bullish) with speculators selling and commercials buying. A light red colored bar indicates that the difference in positioning is the greatest it has been in 52 weeks (bearish) with speculators buying and commercials selling. Crosses above and below 0 are in bold. Non commercials tend to be on the wrong side at the turn and commercials the correct side. Use of the index is covered closely in detail in my book.

Charts

Non Commercials (speculators) – Red

Commercials – Blue

Small Speculators – Black

COTDiff (COT Index) – Black

US Dollar

Is_Crude_Oil_COT_Positioning_Poison_to_Bull_Move_body_usd.png, Is Crude Oil COT Positioning Poison to Bull Move?

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Euro

Is_Crude_Oil_COT_Positioning_Poison_to_Bull_Move_body_eur.png, Is Crude Oil COT Positioning Poison to Bull Move?

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

British Pound

Is_Crude_Oil_COT_Positioning_Poison_to_Bull_Move_body_GBP.png, Is Crude Oil COT Positioning Poison to Bull Move?

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Australian Dollar

Is_Crude_Oil_COT_Positioning_Poison_to_Bull_Move_body_AUD.png, Is Crude Oil COT Positioning Poison to Bull Move?

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Japanese Yen

Is_Crude_Oil_COT_Positioning_Poison_to_Bull_Move_body_JPY.png, Is Crude Oil COT Positioning Poison to Bull Move?

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Canadian Dollar

Is_Crude_Oil_COT_Positioning_Poison_to_Bull_Move_body_cad.png, Is Crude Oil COT Positioning Poison to Bull Move?

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Swiss Franc

Is_Crude_Oil_COT_Positioning_Poison_to_Bull_Move_body_chf.png, Is Crude Oil COT Positioning Poison to Bull Move?

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Mexican Peso

Is_Crude_Oil_COT_Positioning_Poison_to_Bull_Move_body_mxn.png, Is Crude Oil COT Positioning Poison to Bull Move?

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Gold

Is_Crude_Oil_COT_Positioning_Poison_to_Bull_Move_body_gold.png, Is Crude Oil COT Positioning Poison to Bull Move?

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Silver

Is_Crude_Oil_COT_Positioning_Poison_to_Bull_Move_body_silver.png, Is Crude Oil COT Positioning Poison to Bull Move?

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Copper

Is_Crude_Oil_COT_Positioning_Poison_to_Bull_Move_body_copper.png, Is Crude Oil COT Positioning Poison to Bull Move?

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Crude

Is_Crude_Oil_COT_Positioning_Poison_to_Bull_Move_body_crude.png, Is Crude Oil COT Positioning Poison to Bull Move?

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

--- Written by Jamie Saettele, CMT, Senior Technical Strategist for DailyFX.com

To contact Jamie e-mail jsaettele@dailyfx.com. Follow me on Twitter for real time updates @JamieSaettele

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Jamie is the author of Sentiment in the Forex Market.

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

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