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Forex Analysis: Australian Dollar COT Positioning Registers a Record

Forex Analysis: Australian Dollar COT Positioning Registers a Record

Jamie Saettele, CMT, Sr. Technical Strategist

Latest CFTC Release dated December 11, 2012:

Week (Data for Tuesdays)

52 week Percentile / Comment (if applicable)

US Dollar

20

Euro

100

British Pound

94

Australian Dollar

100 - POSITIONING IS AT A RECORD

Japanese Yen

0 – positioning is at an extreme level

Canadian Dollar

78

Swiss Franc

100 – speculators flipped to long and commercials to short

Gold

65

Silver

96

Copper

100

Crude

22

The COT Index is the difference between net speculative positioning and net commercial positioning measured. A light blue colored bar indicates that the difference in positioning is the greatest it has been in 52 weeks (bullish) with speculators selling and commercials buying. A light red colored bar indicates that the difference in positioning is the greatest it has been in 52 weeks (bearish) with speculators buying and commercials selling. Crosses above and below 0 are in bold. Non commercials tend to be on the wrong side at the turn and commercials the correct side. Use of the index is covered closely in detail in my book.

Charts

Non Commercials (speculators) – Red

Commercials – Blue

Small Speculators – White

COTDiff (COT Index) – White

US Dollar

Forex_Analysis_Australian_Dollar_COT_Positioning_Registers_a_Record_body_usd.png, Forex Analysis: Australian Dollar COT Positioning Registers a Record

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Euro

Forex_Analysis_Australian_Dollar_COT_Positioning_Registers_a_Record_body_eur.png, Forex Analysis: Australian Dollar COT Positioning Registers a Record

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

British Pound

Forex_Analysis_Australian_Dollar_COT_Positioning_Registers_a_Record_body_gbpusd.png, Forex Analysis: Australian Dollar COT Positioning Registers a Record

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Australian Dollar

Forex_Analysis_Australian_Dollar_COT_Positioning_Registers_a_Record_body_AUD.png, Forex Analysis: Australian Dollar COT Positioning Registers a Record

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Japanese Yen

Forex_Analysis_Australian_Dollar_COT_Positioning_Registers_a_Record_body_JPY.png, Forex Analysis: Australian Dollar COT Positioning Registers a Record

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Canadian Dollar

Forex_Analysis_Australian_Dollar_COT_Positioning_Registers_a_Record_body_cad.png, Forex Analysis: Australian Dollar COT Positioning Registers a Record

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Swiss Franc

Forex_Analysis_Australian_Dollar_COT_Positioning_Registers_a_Record_body_chf.png, Forex Analysis: Australian Dollar COT Positioning Registers a Record

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Gold

Forex_Analysis_Australian_Dollar_COT_Positioning_Registers_a_Record_body_gold.png, Forex Analysis: Australian Dollar COT Positioning Registers a Record

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Silver

Forex_Analysis_Australian_Dollar_COT_Positioning_Registers_a_Record_body_silver.png, Forex Analysis: Australian Dollar COT Positioning Registers a Record

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Copper

Forex_Analysis_Australian_Dollar_COT_Positioning_Registers_a_Record_body_copper.png, Forex Analysis: Australian Dollar COT Positioning Registers a Record

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Crude

Forex_Analysis_Australian_Dollar_COT_Positioning_Registers_a_Record_body_crude.png, Forex Analysis: Australian Dollar COT Positioning Registers a Record

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

--- Written by Jamie Saettele, CMT, Senior Technical Strategist for DailyFX.com

To contact Jamie e-mail jsaettele@dailyfx.com. Follow me on Twitter for real time updates @JamieSaettele

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Jamie is the author of Sentiment in the Forex Market.

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

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