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Euro Sentiment at Record Extreme

Euro Sentiment at Record Extreme

2011-12-05 21:06:00
Jamie Saettele, CMT, Sr. Technical Strategist
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Latest CFTC Release dated November 29, 2011:

Week (Data for Tuesdays)

Comment

US Dollar

Euro

COT difference downtrend is bearish BUT record commercial longs warns of a reversal

British Pound

Australian Dollar

Japanese Yen

Canadian Dollar

COT difference downtrend is bearish

Swiss Franc

COT difference downtrend is bearish

Gold

Silver

Copper

Crude

COT difference uptrend is bullish

30 Yr US Bond

10 Yr US Note

COT difference uptrend is bullish

2 Yr US Note

The COT Index is the difference between net speculative positioning and net commercial positioning measured. A blue colored bar indicates that the difference in positioning is the greatest it has been in 13 weeks (bullish) with speculators selling and commercials buying. A red colored bar indicates that the difference in positioning is the greatest it has been in 13 weeks (bearish) with speculators buying and commercials selling. Non commercials tend to be on the wrong side at the turn and commercials the correct side. This is not always true however (especially for equity futures) –group behavior varies across markets. Use of the index is covered closely in detail in my book.

Charts

Non Commercials (speculators) – Red

Commercials – Blue

Small Speculators – Black

COTDiff – Black

Volume on bottom

US Dollar

Euro_Sentiment_at_Record_Extreme_body_usd.png, Euro Sentiment at Record Extreme

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Euro

Euro_Sentiment_at_Record_Extreme_body_eur.png, Euro Sentiment at Record Extreme

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

British Pound

Euro_Sentiment_at_Record_Extreme_body_gbp.png, Euro Sentiment at Record Extreme

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Australian Dollar

Euro_Sentiment_at_Record_Extreme_body_aud.png, Euro Sentiment at Record Extreme

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Japanese Yen

Euro_Sentiment_at_Record_Extreme_body_jpy.png, Euro Sentiment at Record Extreme

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Canadian Dollar

Euro_Sentiment_at_Record_Extreme_body_cad.png, Euro Sentiment at Record Extreme

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Swiss Franc

Euro_Sentiment_at_Record_Extreme_body_chf.png, Euro Sentiment at Record Extreme

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Gold

Euro_Sentiment_at_Record_Extreme_body_gold.png, Euro Sentiment at Record Extreme

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Silver

Euro_Sentiment_at_Record_Extreme_body_silver.png, Euro Sentiment at Record Extreme

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Copper

Euro_Sentiment_at_Record_Extreme_body_copper.png, Euro Sentiment at Record Extreme

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Crude

Euro_Sentiment_at_Record_Extreme_body_crude.png, Euro Sentiment at Record Extreme

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

30 Yr US Treasury Bond

Euro_Sentiment_at_Record_Extreme_body_us.png, Euro Sentiment at Record Extreme

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

10 Yr US Treasury Note

Euro_Sentiment_at_Record_Extreme_body_ty.png, Euro Sentiment at Record Extreme

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

2 Yr US Treasury Note

Euro_Sentiment_at_Record_Extreme_body_tu.png, Euro Sentiment at Record Extreme

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

--- Written by Jamie Saettele, CMT, Senior Technical Strategist for DailyFX.com

To contact Jamie, e-mail jsaettele@dailyfx.com. Follow him on Twitter @JamieSaettele

To be added to Jamie’s e-mail distribution list, send an e-mail with subject line "Distribution List" to jsaettele@dailyfx.com

Jamie is the author of Sentiment in the Forex Market.

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

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