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Euro Positioning Difference is Largest Since 2010 Low

Euro Positioning Difference is Largest Since 2010 Low

2011-10-03 18:04:00
Jamie Saettele, CMT, Sr. Technical Strategist
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Latest CFTC Release dated September 27, 2011:

Week (Data for Tuesdays)

Comment

US Dollar

COT difference uptrend is bullish

Euro

COT difference downtrend is bearish

British Pound

COT difference downtrend is bearish

Australian Dollar

COT difference downtrend is bearish

Japanese Yen

Canadian Dollar

COT difference downtrend is bearish

Swiss Franc

COT difference downtrend is bearish

Gold

COT difference downtrend is bearish

Silver

COT difference downtrend is bearish

Copper

Crude

30 Yr US Bond

10 Yr US Note

2 Yr US Note

The COT Index is the difference between net speculative positioning and net commercial positioning measured. A blue colored bar indicates that the difference in positioning is the greatest it has been in 13 weeks (bullish) with speculators selling and commercials buying. A red colored bar indicates that the difference in positioning is the greatest it has been in 13 weeks (bearish) with speculators buying and commercials selling. Non commercials tend to be on the wrong side at the turn and commercials the correct side. This is not always true however (especially for equity futures) –group behavior varies across markets. Use of the index is covered closely in detail in my book.

Charts

Non Commercials (speculators) – Red

Commercials – Blue

Small Speculators – Black

COTDiff – Black

Volume on bottom

US Dollar

COT100311_body_usd.png, Euro Positioning Difference is Largest Since 2010 Low

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Euro

COT100311_body_eur.png, Euro Positioning Difference is Largest Since 2010 Low

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

British Pound

COT100311_body_gbp.png, Euro Positioning Difference is Largest Since 2010 Low

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Australian Dollar

COT100311_body_aud.png, Euro Positioning Difference is Largest Since 2010 Low

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Japanese Yen

COT100311_body_jpy.png, Euro Positioning Difference is Largest Since 2010 Low

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Canadian Dollar

COT100311_body_cad.png, Euro Positioning Difference is Largest Since 2010 Low

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Swiss Franc

COT100311_body_chf.png, Euro Positioning Difference is Largest Since 2010 Low

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Gold

COT100311_body_gold.png, Euro Positioning Difference is Largest Since 2010 Low

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Silver

COT100311_body_silver.png, Euro Positioning Difference is Largest Since 2010 Low

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Copper

COT100311_body_copper.png, Euro Positioning Difference is Largest Since 2010 Low

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Crude

COT100311_body_crude.png, Euro Positioning Difference is Largest Since 2010 Low

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

30 Yr US Treasury Bond

COT100311_body_us.png, Euro Positioning Difference is Largest Since 2010 Low

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

10 Yr US Treasury Note

COT100311_body_ty.png, Euro Positioning Difference is Largest Since 2010 Low

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

2 Yr US Treasury Note

COT100311_body_tu.png, Euro Positioning Difference is Largest Since 2010 Low

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Jamie Saettele publishes Daily Technicals every weekday morning, COT analysis (published Monday), technical analysis of currency crosseson Wednesday and Friday (Euro and Yen crosses), and intraday trading strategy as market action dictates at the DailyFX Forex Stream. A graduate of Bucknell University, he holds the Chartered Market Technician (CMT) designation from the Market Technician Association. He is the author of Sentiment in the Forex Market. Send requests to receive his reports via email to jsaettele@dailyfx.com.

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

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