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COT Warns of Breakouts in Yen and Australian Dollar

COT Warns of Breakouts in Yen and Australian Dollar

2011-07-25 20:17:00
Jamie Saettele, CMT, Sr. Technical Strategist
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Latest CFTC Release dated July 19, 2011:

Week (Data for Tuesdays)

Comment

US Dollar

Euro

COT difference decreasing to a low is bearish

British Pound

Australian Dollar

Japanese Yen

COT difference increasing to a high is bullish

Canadian Dollar

Swiss Franc

Gold

COT difference increasing to a high is bullish

Silver

Copper

COT difference increasing to a high is bullish

Crude

E-Mini S&P

E-Mini NASDAQ

30 Yr US Bond

10 Yr US Note

2 Yr US Note

COT difference decreasing from a high is bearish

The COT Index is the difference between net speculative positioning and net commercial positioning measured. A blue colored bar indicates that the difference in positioning is the greatest it has been in 13 weeks (bullish) with speculators selling and commercials buying. A red colored bar indicates that the difference in positioning is the greatest it has been in 13 weeks (bearish) with speculators buying and commercials selling. Non commercials tend to be on the wrong side at the turn and commercials the correct side. This is not always true however (especially for equity futures) –group behavior varies across markets. Use of the index is covered closely in detail in my book.

Charts

Non Commercials (speculators) – Red

Commercials – Blue

Small Speculators – Black

13 Week Index – Black

Volume and 13 week average – Red and blue

US Dollar

COT072511_body_usd.png, COT Warns of Breakouts in Yen and Australian Dollar

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Euro

COT072511_body_eur.png, COT Warns of Breakouts in Yen and Australian Dollar

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

British Pound

COT072511_body_gbp.png, COT Warns of Breakouts in Yen and Australian Dollar

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Australian Dollar

COT072511_body_aud.png, COT Warns of Breakouts in Yen and Australian Dollar

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Japanese Yen

COT072511_body_jpy.png, COT Warns of Breakouts in Yen and Australian Dollar

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Canadian Dollar

COT072511_body_cad.png, COT Warns of Breakouts in Yen and Australian Dollar

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Swiss Franc

COT072511_body_chf.png, COT Warns of Breakouts in Yen and Australian Dollar

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Gold

COT072511_body_gold.png, COT Warns of Breakouts in Yen and Australian Dollar

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Silver

COT072511_body_silver.png, COT Warns of Breakouts in Yen and Australian Dollar

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Copper

COT072511_body_copper.png, COT Warns of Breakouts in Yen and Australian Dollar

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Crude

COT072511_body_crude.png, COT Warns of Breakouts in Yen and Australian Dollar

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

E-Mini S&P

COT072511_body_es.png, COT Warns of Breakouts in Yen and Australian Dollar

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

E-Mini Nasdaq

COT072511_body_nq.png, COT Warns of Breakouts in Yen and Australian Dollar

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

30 Yr US Treasury Bond

COT072511_body_us.png, COT Warns of Breakouts in Yen and Australian Dollar

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

10 Yr US Treasury Note

COT072511_body_ty.png, COT Warns of Breakouts in Yen and Australian Dollar

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

2 Yr US Treasury Note

COT072511_body_tu.png, COT Warns of Breakouts in Yen and Australian Dollar

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Jamie Saettele publishes Daily Technicals every weekday morning, COT analysis (published Monday), technical analysis of currency crosseson Wednesday and Friday (Euro and Yen crosses), and intraday trading strategy as market action dictates at the DailyFX Forex Stream. A graduate of Bucknell University, he holds the Chartered Market Technician (CMT) designation from the Market Technician Association. He is the author of Sentiment in the Forex Market. Send requests to receive his reports via email to jsaettele@dailyfx.com.

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

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