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Non-USD Speculative Longs Remain Elevated

Non-USD Speculative Longs Remain Elevated

2011-02-28 22:19:00
Jamie Saettele, CMT, Sr. Technical Strategist
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Latest CFTC Release dated February 28, 2011:

Week (Data for Tuesdays)

13 Week Index (Current)

13 Week Index (Previous)

US Dollar

8

8

Euro

100

83

British Pound

75

100

Australian Dollar

17

8

NZ Dollar

17

25

Japanese Yen

0

0

Canadian Dollar

92

100

Swiss Franc

58

50

The COT Index is the percentile of the difference between net speculative positioning and net commercial positioning measured over a specific number of weeks (13). A reading close to 0 is bearish if the currency in question has reversed from a uptrend and is bullish if the currency has been declining for a significant amount of time. A reading close to 100 is bullish if the currency in question has reversed from a downtrend and is bearish if the currency has been rallying for a significant amount of time. On the charts below, blue painted bars indicate that non-commercial (speculative) traders are long and commercials are short. Red painted bars indicate that non-commercial (speculative) traders are short and commercials are long. Non commercials are on the correct side of the trend until the turn. Use of the index is covered closely in detail in my book.

Readings of 95 and higher as well as 5 and lower are in boldfaced red type to indicate potential market extremes. For example, an increasing index is bullish until the index is extreme (near 100), at which time the risk of a reversal or pause in the trend increases.

US Dollar

COT02282011_body_usd.png, Non-USD Speculative Longs Remain Elevated

Euro

COT02282011_body_eur.png, Non-USD Speculative Longs Remain ElevatedCOT02282011_body_gbp.png, Non-USD Speculative Longs Remain Elevated

Australian Dollar

COT02282011_body_aud.png, Non-USD Speculative Longs Remain Elevated

New Zealand Dollar

COT02282011_body_nzd.png, Non-USD Speculative Longs Remain Elevated

Japanese Yen

COT02282011_body_jpy.png, Non-USD Speculative Longs Remain Elevated

Canadian Dollar

COT02282011_body_cad.png, Non-USD Speculative Longs Remain Elevated

Swiss Franc

COT02282011_body_chf.png, Non-USD Speculative Longs Remain Elevated

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