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US Dollar Non Commercials Flip to Net Short

US Dollar Non Commercials Flip to Net Short

2011-02-07 22:19:00
Jamie Saettele, CMT, Sr. Technical Strategist
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Latest CFTC Release dated February 01, 2011:

Week (Data for Tuesdays)

13 Week Index (Current)

13 Week Index (Previous)

US Dollar

0

8

Euro

100

83

British Pound

100

75

Australian Dollar

17

67

NZ Dollar

33

17

Japanese Yen

75

75

Canadian Dollar

58

58

Swiss Franc

58

25

The COT Index is the percentile of the difference between net speculative positioning and net commercial positioning measured over a specific number of weeks (13). A reading close to 0 is bearish if the currency in question has reversed from a uptrend and is bullish if the currency has been declining for a significant amount of time. A reading close to 100 is bullish if the currency in question has reversed from a downtrend and is bearish if the currency has been rallying for a significant amount of time. On the charts below, blue painted bars indicate that non-commercial (speculative) traders are long and commercials are short. Red painted bars indicate that non-commercial (speculative) traders are short and commercials are long. Non commercials are on the correct side of the trend until the turn.

Readings of 95 and higher as well as 5 and lower are in boldfaced red type to indicate potential market extremes. For example, an increasing index is bullish until the index is extreme (near 100), at which time the risk of a reversal or pause in the trend increases.

US Dollar

COT02072011_body_usd.png, US Dollar Non Commercials Flip to Net Short

Euro

COT02072011_body_eur.png, US Dollar Non Commercials Flip to Net ShortCOT02072011_body_gbp.png, US Dollar Non Commercials Flip to Net Short

Australian Dollar

COT02072011_body_aud.png, US Dollar Non Commercials Flip to Net Short

New Zealand Dollar

COT02072011_body_nzd.png, US Dollar Non Commercials Flip to Net Short

Japanese Yen

COT02072011_body_jpy.png, US Dollar Non Commercials Flip to Net Short

Canadian Dollar

COT02072011_body_cad.png, US Dollar Non Commercials Flip to Net Short

Swiss Franc

COT02072011_body_chf.png, US Dollar Non Commercials Flip to Net Short

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