Skip to content
News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site. See our updated Privacy Policy here.

0

Notifications

Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events

0

Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

0
Free Trading Guides
Subscribe
Please try again
Oil - US Crude
Bullish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
More View more
Gold and Silver Price Outlook Bleak: Sellers in Control as US Bond Yields Rally

Gold and Silver Price Outlook Bleak: Sellers in Control as US Bond Yields Rally

Nick Cawley, Strategist

Gold (XAU/USD) and Silver (XAG/USD) Price, Chart, and Analysis

  • Gold will find resistance tough to break.
  • Silver sitting just above an important area of support.

Trade Smarter - Sign up for the DailyFX Newsletter

Receive timely and compelling market commentary from the DailyFX team

Subscribe to Newsletter

Keep up to date with all market-moving data releases and events by using the DailyFX Calendar

The ongoing rally in US bond yields continues to weigh on both gold and silver, leaving both at risk of further losses. Last week’s hawkish twist by the Fed has pushed UST yields higher across the board with the 10-year benchmark currently quoted at 1.54%, its highest level since mid-June, while the interest rate sensitive UST 2-year is offered at 0.315%, its highest level in 18-months. Monday’s sale of $60 billion 2-year and $61 billion 5-year notes met tepid demand and all eyes now turn to today’s sale of $62 billion 7-years. In February this year, the 7-year auction produced very weak results sending bond yields sharply higher with dealers left holding a much larger than the usual amount of bonds. Another weak auction today could see yields across the curve move even higher.

US Treasury Bond Yields September 28, 2021

Yields via Investing.com

Gold remains under pressure from both higher yields and a stronger US dollar and any pullback will remain fleeting as the precious metal looks for the next level of support. The 50% Fibonacci retracement level at $1,763/oz. should cap any move higher, while the next level of technical support is seen off the 61.8% Fib retracement level at $1,689.5/oz. All three simple moving averages remain negative.

Gold Forecast
Gold Forecast
Recommended by Nick Cawley
Get Your Free Gold Forecast
Get My Guide

Gold (XAU/USD) Daily Price Chart September 28, 2021

Retail trader data show 74.52% of traders are net-long with the ratio of traders long to short at 2.92 to 1.The number of traders net-long is 2.64% higher than yesterday and 2.29% lower from last week, while the number of traders net-short is 9.48% higher than yesterday and 37.37% higher from last week.

We typically take a contrarian view to crowd sentiment, and the fact traders are net-long suggests Gold prices may continue to fall.Yet traders are less net-long than yesterday and compared with last week. Recent changes in sentiment warn that the current Gold price trend may soon reverse higher despite the fact traders remain net-long.

How to Use IG Client Sentiment in Your Trading
How to Use IG Client Sentiment in Your Trading
Recommended by Nick Cawley
Improve your trading with IG Client Sentiment Data
Get My Guide

Silver’s multi-month sell-off is ongoing with the semi-precious metal now looking to re-test a zone of prior support produced by three old swing lows between $21.65 and $22.12. If silver breaks this zone of support then it will be back at levels last seen in June 2020. As with gold, the formation of all three simple moving averages is bearish.

Silver Daily Price Chart September 28, 2021

What is your view on Gold and Silver – bullish or bearish?? You can let us know via the form at the end of this piece or you can contact the author via Twitter @nickcawley1.

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES