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Breaking News: Canadian Employment Change Misses Estimate, USD/CAD Reaction

Breaking News: Canadian Employment Change Misses Estimate, USD/CAD Reaction


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Canadian Employment Change (90.2k vs 100k Estimate)

Employment Change data

90.2k jobs have been added to the Canadian economy to mark 3 successive months of labor force additions. The August additions have subsequently resulted in a better than forecast (7.3%) drop in unemployment to reach 7.1%. The Canadian dollar had been trending lower on the one minute chart in the lead up to the data and continued modestly lower in the moments after the release.

USD/CAD 1 Minute Chart

USD/CAD 1 minute chart

Chart prepared by Richard Snow, IG

For all market-moving data releases and events see the DailyFX Economic Calendar

Canada has experienced a rather choppy labor market recovery, with jobs being added, as well as, subtracted from the labor force since losing nearly two million jobs in April 2020. However, the last two jobs prints have been positive coming in at 230.7k and 94k for June and July respectively.

The North American nation has benefitted from the persistent rise in both the demand and price of oil as the global economic recovery continues despite challenges relating to the spread of the Delta variant. The Canadian dollar benefitted from a steady decline in USD/CAD ever since peaking in March 2020, but has given up some of those gains in the early stages of H2 as the US dollar mounted a comeback.

Comparison Chart: USD/CAD vs WTI Futures


Chart prepared by Richard Snow, Tradingview

Next up for CAD:

Economic calendar week ahead

--- Written by Richard Snow for

Contact and follow Richard on Twitter: @RichardSnowFX

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.