Skip to content
News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site. See our updated Privacy Policy here.

0

Notifications

Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events

0

Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

0
Free Trading Guides
Subscribe
Please try again
EUR/USD
Bullish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
More View more
EUR/USD Crumbles to a 9-Month Low, Breaks Below 1.1700

EUR/USD Crumbles to a 9-Month Low, Breaks Below 1.1700

DailyFX, Research

EUR/USD Price, Chart, and Analysis

  • EUR/USD takes out prior support at the 1.1700 level.
  • Fibonacci support is broken – 1.1600 now in view.

Keep up to date with all market-moving data releases and events by using the DailyFX Calendar

EUR Forecast
EUR Forecast
Recommended by DailyFX
Get Your Free EUR Forecast
Get My Guide

The minutes of the latest FOMC meeting released yesterday indicate that progress has been made towards the central bank’s dual mandate of price stability and employment, and while there are still risks to the economy, the suggestion is that a slowing down of the US bond-buying program may soon be announced. The Jackson Hole Symposium – August 26-28 – will provide one platform for chair Powell to announce a change in Fed thinking, while the September FOMC meeting, with the latest Summary of Economic Projections, is now seen as a live event where a tapering announcement is beginning to be baked in.

The subsequent rally in the US dollar to a near five-month high has seen EUR/USD break below a strong area of support around 1.1700 and tumble to levels last seen in early November 2020. The March 2021 low at 1.1704 and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level just below at 1.1695 both fell in Asian turnover, leaving the November 4, 2020 low print at 1.1603 vulnerable.

EURO (EUR/USD) Daily Price Chart August 19, 2021

Retail trader data show 64.10% of traders are net-long with the ratio of traders long to short at 1.79 to 1. The number of traders net-long is 7.03% lower than yesterday and 15.73% lower from last week, while the number of traders net-short is 5.13% higher than yesterday and 4.54% higher from last week.

We typically take a contrarian view to crowd sentiment, and the fact traders are net-long suggests EUR/USD prices may continue to fall.Yet traders are less net-long than yesterday and compared with last week. Recent changes in sentiment warn that the current EUR/USD price trend may soon reverse higher despite the fact traders remain net-long.

EUR/USD Bullish
Data provided by
of clients are net long. of clients are net short.
Change in Longs Shorts OI
Daily -15% 19% -1%
Weekly -37% 99% -5%
What does it mean for price action?
Get My Guide

What is your view on EUR/USD – bullish or bearish?? You can let us know via the form at the end of this piece or you can contact the author via Twitter @nickcawley1.

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES