News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site. See our updated Privacy Policy here.

0

Notifications

Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events

0

Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

0
Free Trading Guides
Subscribe
Please try again
EUR/USD
Mixed
Oil - US Crude
Mixed
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Wall Street
Bearish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Gold
Mixed
GBP/USD
Bearish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
USD/JPY
Bullish
More View more
Real Time News
  • RT @FxWestwater: Hello traders! The Weekly Commodities Trading Prep webinar will be pushed 24 hours to Wednesday 2:00 GMT/10:00 pm EST. Joi…
  • Natural gas spot prices have been on the rise, recapturing a key trendline, following the EIA’s Short-Term Energy Outlook. Where can prices head from here? Find out from @FxWestwater here:https://t.co/yK48nZD1ag https://t.co/rRT4oBDnrK
  • Even in quiet market conditions, you can always find some activity #Philippine stock index (PSEi) up about 13.5% from late May low Expectations of easing lockdowns in the Manila capital region have been a fundamental driver Falling Wedge breakout facing the 61.8% Fib at 6916 https://t.co/VPtB78GRvl
  • USD/JPY IG Client Sentiment: Our data shows traders are now net-short USD/JPY for the first time since Jun 04, 2021 when USD/JPY traded near 109.52. A contrarian view of crowd sentiment points to USD/JPY strength. https://www.dailyfx.com/sentiment https://t.co/KPOyPWpuDn
  • Interesting tone update from the Bank of Indonesia ahead of this week's rate decision The CB said yesterday that it sees Rupiah weakening as 'still reasonable' But. it will maintain measures to stabilize the exchange rate See my tech update here - https://t.co/vu89Lt0boZ
  • The US Dollar continues to see varied performance against ASEAN currencies. USD/SGD is consolidating. USD/THB may bounce. USD/IDR and USD/PHP could continue lower.Get your market update from @ddubrovskyFX here:https://t.co/Ccvcy93t5X https://t.co/cejykWrenF
  • RT @FxWestwater: $AUDUSD Eyes RBA Minutes After Iron Ore Rally Fails to Lift Aussie Dollar Link: https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/fundamental/daily_briefing/daily_pieces/asia_am_briefing/2021/06/14/AUDUSD-Eyes-RBA-Minutes-After-Iron-Ore-Rally-Fails-to-Lift-Aussie-Dollar.html?CHID=9&QPID=917708&utm_source=Twitter&utm_medium=Westwater&utm_campaign=twr https://t.co/AlQ6…
  • The Dow Jones, Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500 await much needed insight from the Federal Reserve on the central bank’s planned policy path given recent economic data releases. Get your market update from @PeterHanksFX here:https://t.co/bZso3WxyC6 https://t.co/d4YJ8jbGok
  • GBP/USD Eyes Trend Support as US Dollar Awaits Fed Dot Plot -via @DailyFX Link to Analysis: https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/market_alert/2021/06/14/gbp-usd-eyes-trend-support-as-us-dollar-awaits-fed-dot-plot.html $GBPUSD #Forex #Trading https://t.co/1BkZ4x0uCG
  • Are gold prices the ‘canary in the coal mine’ for the Federal Reserve meeting? Taper talk may indeed be on the menu (even if it won’t formally arrive until later this year). Get your $XAUUSD market update from @CVecchioFX here:https://t.co/gsoRisZzV6 https://t.co/cjqt0SvWIx
Crude Oil Price Outlook: Upside Risk as OPEC+ Meets to Discuss Output

Crude Oil Price Outlook: Upside Risk as OPEC+ Meets to Discuss Output

Martin Essex, MSTA, Analyst

Crude oil price, news and analysis:

  • OPEC and its allies including Russia meet this week to reconsider their plan to ease their curbs on crude oil production from May 1.
  • The so-called OPEC+ group is widely expected to ease the restrictions as planned; the risk is that the easing is put on hold because of concerns about demand from countries like India that are struggling to contain the spread of Covid-19.
  • That would be positive for the crude oil price.
Advertisement

Crude oil price to rise if OPEC+ changes its plans

The OPEC+ group of crude oil exporters that includes Russia is meeting this week and is widely expected to reconsider an easing of the curbs on production introduced by members to offset lower global demand because of the coronavirus pandemic.

The group is planning to ease those output curbs by 350,000 barrels per day in May, another 350,000 bpd in June and further 400,000 bpd or so in July. Most analysts expect that easing of the production restrictions to proceed as planned.

However, there is also a risk that the easing is put on hold because of concerns about demand from countries such as India – the world’s third-largest crude importer – Brazil and Japan because of the spread of coronavirus there. That would be positive for the crude oil price.

Crude Oil Price Chart, Daily Timeframe (January 4 – April 14, 2021)

Latest crude oil price chart.

Source: IG (You can click on it for a larger image)

For now, forecasts of a recovery in global oil demand despite the problems in India and elsewhere should be sufficient to persuade OPEC+ that the output curbs can be safely reduced. Ahead of this week’s meeting of the OPEC+ monitoring committee, its technical experts have reportedly projected a strong recovery in demand despite the Covid-19 situation in India so there is no need to change course.

However, there is still a small risk that the committee disagrees and keeps its current curbs in place – a near-term positive for prices.

--- Written by Martin Essex, Analyst

Feel free to contact me on Twitter @MartinSEssex

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES