News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site. See our updated Privacy Policy here.

0

Notifications

Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events

0

Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

0
Free Trading Guides
Subscribe
Please try again
Wall Street
Mixed
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
More View more
Real Time News
  • Slippage can be a common occurrence in forex trading but is often misunderstood. Understanding how forex slippage occurs can enable a trader to minimize negative slippage, while potentially maximizing positive slippage. Learn about FX slippage here: https://t.co/Blrl0uF2Ct https://t.co/B0Y3XJhkRS
  • Key levels in forex tend to draw attention to traders in the market. These are psychological prices which tie into the human psyche and way of thinking. Learn about psychological levels here: https://t.co/8A1QhwMVKo https://t.co/1xhewkdV21
  • (USD Weekly Tech) US Dollar Dominant Uptrend Back In Focus: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, NZD/USD, USD/CHF https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/technical/article/special_report/2021/09/20/US-Dollar-Dominant-Uptrend-Back-In-Focus-EURUSD-USDJPY-NZDUSD-USDCHF.html?CHID=9&QPID=917702&utm_source=Twitter&utm_medium=Dubrovsky&utm_campaign=twr https://t.co/IpwzBGCi7P
  • What is your forex trading style? Take the quiz and find out: https://t.co/YY3ePTpzSI https://t.co/qv8keXFzHZ
  • Join @IlyaSpivak at 22:00 EST/2:00 GMT for his cross-market weekly outlook webinar. Register here: https://t.co/MKGHc9ae64 https://t.co/JMlT0Wn3DK
  • Did you know a Doji candlestick signals market indecision and the potential for a change in direction. What are the top five types of Doji candlesticks? Find out https://t.co/c51s3IBcEu https://t.co/sbejkd7XT5
  • *Reminder: Weekly Strategy Webinar Monday morning at 8:30am ET - https://t.co/lxd5fZnn4H Mid-Week Market Update on Wednesday at 9:30am ET - https://t.co/8SFBJxNZrA
  • Are you new to trading? Technical analysis of charts aims to identify patterns and market trends by utilising different forms of technical chart types and other chart functions. Get a refresher on technical analysis or begin building your knowledge here: https://t.co/qV3c7a4YR3 https://t.co/CJR61cljOe
  • (AUD Weekly Tech) Australian Dollar May Wilt, Downtrends Resume: AUD/USD, AUD/JPY, AUD/NZD, AUD/CAD https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/technical/article/fx_technical_weekly/2021/09/19/Australian-Dollar-May-Wilt-Downtrends-Resume-AUDUSD-AUDJPY-AUDNZD-AUDCAD.html?CHID=9&QPID=917702&utm_source=Twitter&utm_medium=Dubrovsky&utm_campaign=twr https://t.co/DedoOKJMXh
  • Entry orders are a valuable tool in forex trading. Traders can strategize to come up with a great trading plan, but if they can’t execute that plan effectively, all their hard work might as well be thrown out. Learn how to place entry orders here: https://t.co/1mnOXUuBpt https://t.co/GQB0ic9Ahe
EUR/USD Moving Higher on Better-than-Expected ZEW and US Dollar Weakness

EUR/USD Moving Higher on Better-than-Expected ZEW and US Dollar Weakness

Nick Cawley, Strategist

ZEW and EUR/USD Price, News and Analysis:

The latest ZEW readings for both the Euro Area and Germany came in better than expected this morning, giving the single currency a nudge higher. German economic sentiment rose to 61.8 from a prior 55.0, while Euro Area expectations rose to 58.3 from 54.4 in December.

“Despite the uncertainty about the further course of the lockdown, the economic outlook for the German economy has improved slightly. The results of the ZEW Financial Market Survey in January show that export expectations in particular have risen significantly,” noted ZEW President Achim Wambach.

For all market-moving economic data and events, see the DailyFX Calendar.

Advertisement

The Euro picked up slightly post-release and currently trades around 1.2125 against the US dollar. The greenback is currently flat to marginally lower in Europe as traders wait for Treasury secretary-elect Janet Yellen to give her confirmation speech to the Senate later today. In prepared remarks already distributed, Ms. Yellen is expected to say that the ‘smartest thing we can do is go big’ otherwise the US economy risked ‘a longer and more painful recession’.

While the Euro is stronger against the US dollar today, further tests lie ahead this week. The ECB will announce its latest monetary policy decision on Thursday, and while no changes are expected, the post-release press conference may give some further clues to the central bank’s current thinking, while on Friday the January Markit PMIs are released. The pair are now touching the 50-day simple moving average and will need to make a confirmed break higher before attempting resistance at 1.2202 off the 20-day sma.

EUR/USD Daily Price Chart (June 2020 – January 19, 2021)

EUR/USD Moving Higher on Better-than-Expected ZEW and US Dollar Weakness

IG Retail trader data show 47.71% of traders are net-long with the ratio of traders short to long at 1.10 to 1. We typically take a contrarian view to crowd sentiment, and the fact traders are net-short suggests EUR/USD prices may continue to rise. Positioning is more net-short than yesterday but less net-short from last week. The combination of current sentiment and recent changes gives us a further mixed EUR/USD trading bias.

What is your view on EUR/USD – bullish or bearish?? You can let us know via the form at the end of this piece or you can contact the author via Twitter @nickcawley1.

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES