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US Tech Stocks Break Down, FTSE 100 Soars, USD/JPY Upside Capped - US Market Open

US Tech Stocks Break Down, FTSE 100 Soars, USD/JPY Upside Capped - US Market Open

Justin McQueen, Analyst

FTSE 100, USD/JPY Analysis & News

QUICK TAKE: Democrats on Course for Blue Wave Following Georgia Senate Election

EQUITIES (US Futures): DJIA (+0.14%), S&P 500 (-0.3%), Nasdaq 100 (-1.4%)

The Nasdaq 100 is the notable underperformer as markets reprice the possibility of higher corporation tax and regulatory risks, which could see large tech come under greater scrutiny. As such, the rotation trade looks to be back in vogue with value outperforming growth as Russell 2000 futures trade at a record high. Elsewhere, the FTSE 100 outperforms with gains led by energy (Saudi decision to cut production by 1mbpd for February and March) and financial names (firmer bond yields).

FTSE 100 BEARISH
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of clients are net long. of clients are net short.
Change in Longs Shorts OI
Daily 16% 10% 14%
Weekly 52% -36% 2%
What does it mean for price action?
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FX: The US Dollar has extended losses with the blue wave trade in full swing, risks now mounting for a move towards the March 2018 lows. Meanwhile, cross-JPY has tracked risk appetite higher, while the pick-up in US rates has also underpinned. That said, eyes are on USD/JPY, which remains below 103.00, as such, with US rates pulling back off earlier highs, this may pave the way for a move towards support at 102.50. A break below raises the risk of a move towards 101.50. With this in mind, it is worth noting that USD/JPY has been more a USD play as opposed to a risk play with the Japanese Yen (vs US Dollar) now positively correlated with risk appetite (S&P 500)

USD/JPY BEARISH
Data provided by
of clients are net long. of clients are net short.
Change in Longs Shorts OI
Daily 18% 9% 14%
Weekly 15% 0% 9%
What does it mean for price action?
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US Tech Stocks Break Down, FTSE 100 Soars, USD/JPY Upside Capped - US Market Open

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