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Gold Price Flirting with Potential Breakout Above $1,900

Gold Price Flirting with Potential Breakout Above $1,900

Rich Dvorak, Analyst

GOLD PRICE OUTLOOK: TECHNICAL RESISTANCE IN FOCUS AS PRECIOUS METALS STAGE BULLISH REVERSAL

  • Gold price action challenges technical resistance posed by the $1,900-level
  • Precious metals have attempted to rebound off their recent swing lows
  • Gold and silver prices could extend higher if US Dollar weakness persists
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Gold price action has staged a healthy rebound attempt over recent trading sessions. The precious metal has climbed roughly 5% since the start of December in an effort to end its losing streak of four-months straight. Gold prices currently hover slightly beneath the psychologically-significant $1,900-level, which so far has kept sustained advances at bay. This area of technical resistance looks likely to be challenged, however, as short-term bullish and medium-term bearish trend lines converge.

Gold Bullish
Data provided by
of clients are net long. of clients are net short.
Change in Longs Shorts OI
Daily -2% 13% 1%
Weekly -14% -11% -13%
What does it mean for price action?
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GOLD PRICE CHART: DAILY TIME FRAME (14 JUL TO 28 DEC 2020)

Gold Price Chart Technical Forecast

Chart by @RichDvorakFX created using TradingView

Gold prices have advanced steadily since bulls reclaimed the positively-sloped 200-day simple moving average. Defending this key technical level seems to have sparked the resumption of buying pressures corresponding with a string of higher lows and higher highs. That said, eclipsing the critical barrier of resistance around $1,900 could recharge gold bulls. This potential breakout level might tee up a heartier push toward the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of the trading range developed since August.

GOLD PRICE CHART WITH US DOLLAR INDEX OVERLAID: DAILY TIME FRAME (NOV 2019 TO DEC 2020)

Gold Price Chart with US Dollar Index Overlaid

Chart by @RichDvorakFX created using TradingView

Perhaps another leg lower notched by the US Dollar could fuel a stronger rebound by precious metals. Gold price action generally maintains a strong inverse relationship with the US Dollar Index as indicated by their 20-day correlation. To that end, gold and silver prices could face renewed headwinds if a reversal by the US Dollar starts to materialize.

Gold Forecast
Gold Forecast
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-- Written by Rich Dvorak, Analyst for DailyFX.com

Connect with @RichDvorakFX on Twitter for real-time market insight

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

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