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Euro Outlook: EUR/USD, EUR/GBP Levels to Watch

Euro Outlook: EUR/USD, EUR/GBP Levels to Watch

Justin McQueen, Analyst

EUR/USD Price Analysis & News

  • EUR/USD | Narrow Range Maintained
  • EUR/GBP | 200DMA Breached, November Lows in Focus
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Aside from the Pound, G10 FX has been unsurprisingly muted as markets wind down for the Christmas period. All eyes remain on an official announcement of a Brexit deal, which is within the next few hours. In light of the risk-on catalyst, safe-haven currencies (JPY, CHF) are on the backfoot against high-beta FX.

G10 FX Intra-day Performance

Euro Outlook: EUR/USD, EUR/GBP Levels to Watch

EUR/USD | Narrow Range Maintained

The pair continues to hover around the 1.22 mark with recent gains underpinned by the wave of Brexit optimism. However, an offsetting factor for a push higher in the Euro is likely due to the pullback in EUR/GBP which has hit fresh 3-week lows. Topside challenges remain at the high 1.22s, while key support is situated at 1.2120-30. That said, EUR/USD is expected to remain in a relatively narrow 1.2160-1.2215 range.

Pivot | 1.2186

Support | 1.2151, 1.2118, 1.2083

Resistance | 1.2219, 1.2254, 1.2288

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EUR/GBP | 200DMA Breached, November Lows in Focus

The cross has made a break below the psychological 0.90 handle and 200DMA (0.8983), raising scope for a move towards the November lows situated at 0.8860 in the short-run. However, given seasonal factors, liquidity remains scarce, thus the cross is prone to choppy price action.

Moving Average (MA) Explained for Traders

Pivot | 0.9046

Support | 0.8982, 0.8936, 0.8872

Resistance | 0.9092, 0.9156, 0.9219

EUR/GBP BULLISH
Data provided by
of clients are net long. of clients are net short.
Change in Longs Shorts OI
Daily -20% 9% -9%
Weekly -28% -1% -18%
What does it mean for price action?
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EUR/GBP Chart: Daily Time Frame

Euro Outlook: EUR/USD, EUR/GBP Levels to Watch

Source: Refinitiv

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