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British Pound (GBP) Latest: GBP/USD Trend Higher May Persist After UK Inflation Data

British Pound (GBP) Latest: GBP/USD Trend Higher May Persist After UK Inflation Data

2020-11-18 09:00:00
Martin Essex, MSTA, Analyst

GBP price, UK inflation data, Brexit news and analysis:

  • UK inflation figures showed an increase in October and that could help the recent trend higher in GBP/USD continue.
  • The EU-UK talks on their trade relationship after the Brexit implementation period ends on December 31 could reportedly result in an agreement early next week and that is helping GBP too.
  • However, if there is no sign of progress Sterling is likely to give up some of its recent gains.

GBP/USD trend upwards to persist

The recent trend higher in GBP/USD could stretch further after news that the UK inflation rate rose to 0.7% in October, above both the previous 0.5% and the 0.6% forecast by economists polled by the news agencies.

UK Inflation

Latest UK inflation data.

Source: DailyFX (You can click on it for a larger image)

The numbers are another positive factor for GBP/USD, which looks likely to hit 1.33 shortly. However, the pair’s fortunes remain tied to the EU-UK negotiations on their relationship once the current Brexit implementation period ends on December 31.

GBP/USD Price Chart, 30-Minute Timeframe (November 13-18, 2020)

Latest GBP/USD price chart.

Chart by IG (You can click on it for a larger image)

Data provided by
of clients are net long. of clients are net short.
Change in Longs Shorts OI
Daily -10% -13% -12%
Weekly 13% -6% 0%
What does it mean for price action?
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Recent reports suggest that an agreement between the EU and the UK is possible early next week and any deal would also reinforce Sterling’s recent strength. Note, though, that if such a deal is not forthcoming there is now very little time left for the ratification process necessary for an agreement to be implemented – a potential negative for the Pound but positive for the FTSE 100 index of the major London listed stocks, which tend to benefit from GBP weakness.

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--- Written by Martin Essex, Analyst

Feel free to contact me on Twitter @MartinSEssex

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.