EUR/USD Price Analysis & News
- German GDP in Crash Mode
- Q2 Growth Will Show a Much Larger Contraction
- Euro Unmoved as Tight Range Persists
GDP in Crash Mode: German Q1 GDP contracted by 2.2% on the quarter, matching economic forecasts, while the yearly rate posted a larger than expected decline. However, if there is one silver lining for Germany, is that they had outperformed the Eurozone, which saw a quarterly contraction of 3.8%. That said, while the Q1 GDP figure is the largest contraction since 2009, indications for Q2 growth are already signalling a much larger contraction of circa 7%
Market Reaction: Overall, the Euro saw a very muted reaction to the release given that the number is outdated and thus only provides a look at the economy from the rearview. Alongside this, with markets typically forward-looking in nature, the focus remains on the broader macro themes, in particular the re-opening efforts of economies to assess the potential recovery outlook as well as hopes on a possible vaccine.
EUR/USD Technical Levels
Near-term resistance situated at 1.0830-40 to cap recent upside. While the outlook for the Euro remains weak, the currency has been trading in a tight range as of late and thus the prospect of a breakout has increased. With that in mind, for a bearish breakdown in the pair eyes for a move below key trendline support stemming from the March lows.
| Change in | Longs | Shorts | OI |
| Daily | -9% | 23% | 0% |
| Weekly | -5% | 17% | 2% |
EUR/USD Price Chart: Daily Time Frame
--- Written by Justin McQueen, Market Analyst
Follow Justin on Twitter @JMcQueenFX
