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British Pound (GBP) Latest: GBP/USD to Drop to April Low?

British Pound (GBP) Latest: GBP/USD to Drop to April Low?

Martin Essex, MSTA, Analyst

GBP price, news and analysis:

  • GBP/USD looks to be heading towards the April 6 low at 1.2166 as traders and investors worry about a possible second wave of coronavirus infections.
  • China, South Korea and Germany have all seen new outbreaks and the World Health Organization has warned that the virus may never go away, prompting a move into safe havens such as the US Dollar.
  • Federal Reserve Chair Jay Powell has also warned of “significant downside risks”.

GBP/USD heading towards support

GBP/USD continues to head lower on concerns about a possible second wave of coronavirus infections that are driving traders and investors away from riskier assets like the British Pound into the relative safety of the US Dollar. New Covid-19 outbreaks in China, South Korea and Germany have raised worries about the virus again just as governments begin to ease restrictions to help boost economic activity.

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In addition, the World Health Organization’s emergencies director Dr Mike Ryan has said “it is important to put this on the table: this virus may become just another endemic virus in our communities, and this virus may never go away.” Federal Reserve Chair Jay Powell has chimed in too, arguing that “the path ahead is both highly uncertain and subject to significant downside risks.”

That has left GBP/USD floundering, trading lower within a downward-sloping channel on the charts and with little support evident before the 1.2166 low touched on April 6.

GBP/USD Price Chart, Four-Hour Timeframe (April 3 – May 14, 2020)

Latest GBP/USD price chart.

Chart by IG (You can click on it for a larger image)

GBP/USD BULLISH
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of clients are net long. of clients are net short.
Change in Longs Shorts OI
Daily -5% 7% 2%
Weekly -27% 25% -2%
What does it mean for price action?
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The markets are also waiting with some trepidation for news from this week’s UK-EU Brexit trade talks amid claims that a trade deal with tariffs on goods is not possible within the timeframe. The talks are due to end Friday.

Check out the many different types of forex orders that traders use to manage their trades here.

We look at Sterling regularly in the DailyFX Trading Global Markets Decoded podcasts that you can find here on Apple or wherever you go for your podcasts

--- Written by Martin Essex, Analyst and Editor

Feel free to contact me via the comments section below

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

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