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Euro Latest - EUR/USD Sinks Further as Storm Clouds Gather

Euro Latest - EUR/USD Sinks Further as Storm Clouds Gather

Nick Cawley, Senior Strategist
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EUR/USD Price, News and Analysis:

  • EURUSD pressing down on 1.0800
  • German Factory orders crater to record low.
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EUR/USD - Looking For Support

The single currency continues to move lower after the German Constitutional Court ruled on Tuesday that the ECB’s bond buying scheme (QE) was not balanced and gave the central bank three months to prove that the QE program was ‘proportionate’ otherwise the Bundesbank may pull out of the program. Subsequent commentary from the President of the Bundesbank Jens Weidmann that he would support the ECB in their efforts to meet this requirement calmed the situation but if the market sees any fractures within the EU, the Euro will come under increasing pressure.

EUR/USD Hit as Germany Rules That ECB Actions are Against EU Treaty

Tuesday’s EUR/USD sell-off continues this morning after data showed German Factory orders slumping in March. According to the Federal Statistical Office (Destatis), the real (price-adjusted) order intake in March 2020 was 15.6% lower than in February 2020, seasonally and calendar-adjusted, the largest decrease since the beginning of the time series in January 1991.Compared to February, domestic orders fell 14.8%, international orders slumped 16.1% and orders from the Euro-Zone fell by 17.9%.

For all market moving data and events please see the DailyFX calendar.

EURUSD has now broken below the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level at 1.0839 again and a cluster of recent lows around 1.0810. The daily chart shows three bearish candles in a row this week with the pair over 160 pips lower since Monday. Support may show up between 1.0777 and 1.0768 before the April 24 low at 1.0727 comes into play. A short-term area of resistance appears between 1.0839 (Fibonacci) and today’s high at 1.0844 ahead of the 20-dma currently placed at 1.0870.

EUR/USD Daily Price Chart (October 2019 – May 6, 2020)

chart showing eurusd falling
EUR/USD Bearish
Data provided by
of clients are net long. of clients are net short.
Change in Longs Shorts OI
Daily 11% -21% -3%
Weekly 5% -2% 3%
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What is your view on EUR/USD – bullish or bearish?? You can let us know via the form at the end of this piece or you can contact the author via Twitter @nickcawley1.

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.