News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site. See our updated Privacy Policy here.

0

Notifications

Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events

0

Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

0
Free Trading Guides
Subscribe
Please try again
Wall Street
Bearish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
More View more
Real Time News
  • It seems the markets are riding high, but risk is always lurking around the corner. Consider your escape plan before you find yourself in collapsing market. What are the top havens for different conditions in 2021? Find out from @JohnKicklighter here: https://t.co/1oeXWEsJkb https://t.co/7U3ZJR0kDB
  • Angola to cut November oil exports to lowest since at least 2008 - Angola exported 1.1mbpd of crude oil in September, according to Refinitiv
  • ECB's Kazaks - The 2% price target will not be met in the medium term - Inflation outlook likely to be revised higher
  • Emotions are often a key driving force behind FOMO. If left unchecked, they can lead traders to neglect trading plans and exceed comfortable levels of risk. Read on and get your emotions in check here: https://t.co/eILWbFgHRE https://t.co/fs5IRP7MJy
  • ECB's De Cos says conclusion of FT report is incompatible with ECB guidance $EUR
  • 💶 Inflation Rate YoY Final (AUG) Actual: 3% Expected: 3% Previous: 2.2% https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-09-17
  • 💶 Inflation Rate MoM Final (AUG) Actual: 0.4% Expected: 0.4% Previous: -0.1% https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-09-17
  • 💶 Core Inflation Rate YoY Final (AUG) Actual: 1.6% Expected: 1.6% Previous: 0.7% https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-09-17
  • Heads Up:💶 Inflation Rate YoY Final (AUG) due at 09:00 GMT (15min) Expected: 3% Previous: 2.2% https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-09-17
  • Heads Up:💶 Inflation Rate MoM Final (AUG) due at 09:00 GMT (15min) Expected: 0.4% Previous: -0.1% https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-09-17
Why is GBP/USD Impacted by Equities?- CAD & Oil Link Breaks Down: Cross-Asset Correlation

Why is GBP/USD Impacted by Equities?- CAD & Oil Link Breaks Down: Cross-Asset Correlation

Justin McQueen, Strategist

GBP/USD, USD/CAD, Oil Price Analysis & News

GBP/USD Becoming Increasingly Sensitive to Risk Assets

In the previous cross-asset correlation report, we had noted that the Pound has become increasingly more sensitive to risk appetite, compared to previously in which the currency had sat in the middle of the risk on-risk off spectrum. This has been further highlighted in the 1-week correlation matrix, showing that GBP/USD has the most positive correlation with global equities (even more so than the Australian Dollar). As we have alluded to previously, the fact that the Pound has a large twin deficit, with the current account deficit among the largest in the G10 complex, means that the UK needs constant inflow of foreign capital. That said, the Pound is likely to take its cue from the macro backdrop as opposed to idiosyncratic factors for now.

Canadian Dollar and Oil Relationship Breaking Down

In recent sessions, the Canadian Dollar has seen its positive correlation with oil breakdown. We feel the reason behind has been due to the fact that the price action in the US Dollar has been the dominant force over the past few weeks. That in mind, while oil prices are having a limited impact on the Canadian Dollar at present, the fact that oil prices are finding a range we feel provides a degree of stabilization in the Loonie. Earlier in the week, the Federal Reserve announced a gamechanger in the form of unlimited QE, while addressing dollar shortage concerns through USD swap lines, which has allowed for a corrective move lower in the greenback. As such, the Canadian Dollar has been on the front foot, however, we still see risks to the downside for equity markets as country lockdowns are extended. Therefore, with safe-haven flows benefitting the greenback we still see upside risks for USD/CAD above 1.40, while CAD/JPY may also offer value on the downside after the Japanese fiscal year end come April.

How to Invest During a Recession: Investments & Strategy

Figure 1. Cross-Asset Correlation (1 Week, 1 Month & 3 Month Timeframe)

Why is GBP/USD Impacted by Equities?- CAD & Oil Link Breaks Down: Cross-Asset CorrelationWhy is GBP/USD Impacted by Equities?- CAD & Oil Link Breaks Down: Cross-Asset CorrelationWhy is GBP/USD Impacted by Equities?- CAD & Oil Link Breaks Down: Cross-Asset Correlation

Source: Refinitiv, DailyFX. The Topix is used as a proxy for the Nikkei 225.

--- Written by Justin McQueen, Market Analyst

Follow Justin on Twitter @JMcQueenFX

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES