News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site. See our updated Privacy Policy here.

0

Notifications

Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events

0

Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

0
Free Trading Guides
Subscribe
Please try again
Wall Street
Bearish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
More View more
Real Time News
  • Forex quotes reflect the price of different currencies at any point in time. Since a trader’s profit or loss is determined by movements in price, it is essential to develop a sound understanding of how to read currency pairs. Learn how to read quotes here: https://t.co/CNtqrKWDBY https://t.co/stMPuq0VXR
  • A currency carry trade involves borrowing a low-yielding currency in order to buy a higher yielding currency in an attempt to profit from the interest rate differential. Find out if the carry trade suits your trading style here: https://t.co/7t4BzmLg8w https://t.co/v6RGICQvge
  • Get your snapshot update of the of top level exchanges and key index performance from around the globe here: https://t.co/d8Re5anlG5 https://t.co/rws9LHJV3E
  • RT @FxWestwater: Japanese Yen Forecast: JPY Crosses Eye BoJ, CPI as Haven Flows Bolster Yen Strength Link: https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/fundamental/forecast/weekly/jpy/2021/09/18/Japanese-Yen-Forecast-JPY-Crosses-Eye-BoJ-CPI-as-Haven-Flows-Bolster-Yen-Strength.html?CHID=9&QPID=917708&utm_source=Twitter&utm_medium=Westwater&utm_campaign=twr https:/…
  • Traders utilize varying time frames to speculate in the forex market. The two most common are long- and short-term-time frames which transmits through to trend and trigger charts. Learn more about time-frame analysis here: https://t.co/9S5tXIs3SX https://t.co/FVisZuTP6M
  • Stocks appear to be in a corrective phase but could get put to the test; levels and lines to watch in the days ahead. Get your weekly equities forecast from @PaulRobinsonFX here: https://t.co/H1BaTlIHjY https://t.co/zP3mjfslSD
  • Currency exchange rates are impacted by several factors. Are different world leaders a contributing factor? Find out here: https://t.co/4jsORznRTE https://t.co/Of1thU4zXw
  • Further your forex knowledge and gain insights from our expert analysts on AUD with our free guide, available today: https://t.co/p2FhEwym1E https://t.co/MjiYB85TSF
  • Many people are attracted to forex trading due to the amount of leverage that brokers provide. Leverage allows traders to gain more exposure in financial markets than what they are required to pay for. Learn about FX leverage here: https://t.co/BdgFmkRxVw https://t.co/fIO9TP7D62
  • Trading Forex is not a shortcut to instant wealth, excessive leverage can magnify losses, and sentiment is a powerful indicator. Learn about these principles in depth here: https://t.co/lZFM8youtX https://t.co/Xja8DHUqlH
Dow Jones & Nasdaq 100 Forecast: Airlines, Banks and Shale at Risk

Dow Jones & Nasdaq 100 Forecast: Airlines, Banks and Shale at Risk

Peter Hanks, Strategist

Dow Jones & Nasdaq 100 Outlook:

  • The Dow Jones and Nasdaq enjoyed modest gains despite uncertainty
  • Even if a larger rebound materializes, the financial, airline and energy sectors may remain a concern
  • Consequently, traders and investors will await a fiscal response from the Trump administration

Dow Jones & Nasdaq 100 Forecast: Airlines, Banks and Shale at Risk

After suffering their worst day in 12 years, stocks attempted to recover on Tuesday but gains appear tenuous for the time being. Unsurprisingly, it seems investors are hesitant to fully commit to equity exposure given the highly uncertain and volatile market climate. In turn, market participants may wait for clarification from the ECB and the Trump administration which is reportedly considering a range of fiscal measures.

Financials, Airlines and Shale Sectors Take a Hit

airline etf

Chart created in TradingView. Financials in blue, airlines in orange, equally-weighted shale index in red

In the meantime, airliners, banks and the shale industry will likely be among some of the most vulnerable sectors. In the case of airlines, an acute drawdown in international travel has seen some of the country’s largest airlines reduce flights and connections in an effort to cut costs. Nevertheless, the XAL Airline ETF has been battered in the recent rout. In response, the Trump administration has announced plans to investigate aid measures for airliners.

Financials May Flounder

Similarly, lower interest rates and slow economic growth will look to weigh on the XLF Financials ETF. While banks can look to offset lower rates with higher volume, slower growth may weigh on demand and prove troublesome – a theme outlined by the performance of European financials which have had to grapple with low rates and tepid Eurozone growth for years.

Shale Slumps

The US shale industry has also fallen under threat. A massive decline in the price of crude oil amid a bubbling price warwill look to reduce the profitability and in some instances, viability, of the shale industry. Further still, should US shale producers fail to repay debt, there may be a knock-on effect for banks which have exposure to the industry.

WTI Crude Oil and High Yield Corporate Debt

HYG etf

Chart created in TradingView. Crude in red, HYG in orange

Since the shale industry has notoriously high levels of leverage, investors have been quick to express their concern for the sector which has been partially reflected in the HYG High Yield Corporate Debt ETF. As it stands, President Trump has not revealed detailed plans for assistance, but did suggest the companies at risk may receive some form of aid.

While these sectors look to stem the bleeding, market participants will eagerly await concrete plans from the Trump administration going forward. So far, President Trump has called for payroll taxes to be waived until the election is over, assistance for airlines and cruise lines and aid for shale companies but specifics remain opaque and many measures would require bipartisan support. Meanwhile, market volatility will likely persist as the drastic moves in various markets work to pressure weak points in the economy.

With that in mind, the performance of crude oil could play a crucial role in the coming months as shale producers look to keep their heads above water. Already the commodity has helped spark an array of moves in other markets like the Canadian Dollar which suffered a bearish breakdown versus its southern counterpart.

--Written by Peter Hanks, Junior Analyst for DailyFX.com

Contact and follow Peter on Twitter @PeterHanksFX

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES