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Brexit Latest: Sterling (GBP) Spikes as Brexit Deal Agreed - What Next?

Brexit Latest: Sterling (GBP) Spikes as Brexit Deal Agreed - What Next?

Nick Cawley, Senior Strategist

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Brexit Deal Announced - All Eyes Now on UK Lawmakers

  • Brexit deal news sends Sterling pairs soaring.
  • Will the UK lawmakers ratify the deal on Saturday?

Brand New Q4 2019 GBP and USD Forecasts and Top Trading Opportunities

Sterling (GBP) Hits a Fresh Five-Month High as Brexit Deal is Agreed

The UK and EU have announced a new Brexit deal - effectively taking a no-deal outcome off the table - sending Sterling soaring against a wide range of currencies. GBPUSD touched 1.2990, its highest level since May 13 before news that the DUP will not vote for the deal saw the pair drift back down to the 1.2900 area. The UK Parliament is expected to vote on the deal on Saturday, but the latest commentary is that this may be delayed unless PM Johnson is confident that he can get the deal passed. The DUP continue to oppose the deal and without their votes, and those of some Labour rebels, it will be difficult for PM Johnson to get this deal voted through. Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn has said that the deal is worse than Theresa May's and that he wants a second referendum on this new deal.

On the charts GBPUSD burst through resistance at 1.2838 – 61.8% Fibonacci retracement – with the next target at 1.3177, the May 3 lower high. Above here, a full retracement of the March 13 – September 2 sell-off at 1.3382. While fears that the deal may not be voted through, or even on, Sterling will remain volatile. The ATR indicator is at its highest level in seven months, while the CCI indicator highlights that GBPUSD is heavily overbought.

DailyFX Economic Calendar

GBP/USD Daily Price Chart (January - October 17, 2019)

IG Client Sentiment shows that retail traders are 57% net-long GBP/USD, giving us a bearish contrarian bias. However daily and weekly changes give us a bullish bias.

Traders may be interested in two of our trading guides – Traits of Successful Traders and Top Trading Lessons – while technical analysts are likely to be interested in our latest Elliott Wave Guide.

What is your view on Sterling and Brexit – bullish or bearish?? You can let us know via the form at the end of this piece or you can contact the author at nicholas.cawley@ig.com or via Twitter @nickcawley1.

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

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