Never miss a story from David Cottle

Subscribe to receive daily updates on publications
Please enter valid First Name
Please fill out this field.
Please enter valid Last Name
Please fill out this field.
Please enter valid email
Please fill out this field.
Please select a country

I’d like to receive information from DailyFX and IG about trading opportunities and their products and services via email.

Please fill out this field.

Your Forecast Is Headed to Your Inbox

But don't just read our analysis - put it to the rest. Your forecast comes with a free demo account from our provider, IG, so you can try out trading with zero risk.

Your demo is preloaded with £10,000 virtual funds, which you can use to trade over 10,000 live global markets.

We'll email you login details shortly.

Learn More about Your Demo

You are subscribed to David Cottle

You can manage your subscriptions by following the link in the footer of each email you will receive

An error occurred submitting your form.
Please try again later.

Australian Dollar, Labor Market Data Talking Points:

  • Overall job gains were well ahead of forecasts last month
  • Full-time positions also rose ahead of consensus
  • Given RBA focus on this data it seems likely that aggressive rate-cut forecasts could be pared

Join our analysts for live, interactive coverage of all major economic data at the DailyFX Webinars. We’d love to have you along.

The Australian Dollar rose Thursday on news that its homeland’s formidable job-creation machine continues to fire.

Overall job creation was an impressive 41,000 in July according to official data, well above the 14,000 new posts which the market has expected. Full-time employment rose by a chunky 34,500 with part time positions up by 6,700. The unemployment rate remained steady at 5.2%, however.

The Reserve Bank of Australia is known to be watching this series especially closely now with monetary policy settings in mind, and this clear evidence that Australia is still hiring is likely to see some of the more aggressive forecasts for lower interest rates pared back a little.

AUDUSD certainly made gains on the release, powering up to a new session high.

Australian Dollar Vs US Dollar, 5-minute Chart

On its daily chart the Australian Dollar is still close to the eleven-year low hit on August 7 against its big US brother. A mix negatives continues to hit the currency. General risk aversion and worries about global growth create obviousproblems for the pro-cyclical Aussie. Then there was the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s surprise chunky half-percentage-point interest rate cut earlier this month. It saw investors price in similarly-sized reductions in Australia, when before only a single further reduction was expected.

Given this it’s no wonder that the Aussie should be under pressure.

Australian Dollar Vs US Dollar, Daily Chart

Signs that Washington and Beijing are making some progress on trade would be the key risk appetite spur about now, but they don’t seem likely in the near term, with Chinese officials reportedly pessimistic about the chance of progress when they head to the US next month.

Moreover, for as long as the Aussie is perceived to suffer from such a complete lack of domestic monetary support it will be very hard to get bullish on it for long.

Australian Dollar Resources for Traders

Whether you’re new to trading or an old hand DailyFX has plenty of resources to help you. There’s our trading sentiment indicator which shows you live how IG clients are positioned right now. We also hold educational and analytical webinars and offer trading guides, with one specifically aimed at those new to foreign exchange markets. There’s also a Bitcoin guide. Be sure to make the most of them all. They were written by our seasoned trading experts and they’re all free.

--- Written by David Cottle, DailyFX Research

Follow David on Twitter@DavidCottleFX or use the Comments section below to get in touch!