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US Dollar Drops as ISM Manufacturing Slides Toward Contraction

US Dollar Drops as ISM Manufacturing Slides Toward Contraction

Thomas Westwater,
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ISM Manufacturing Talking Points:

The Institute of Supply Management released their report on the manufacturing sector Thursday morning, revealing that US manufacturing continued to slow. The headline figure came in at 51.2, slightly under expectations of 52.0 and falling from last month’s reading of 51.7, marking the fourth consecutive month of decline in the sector. Trade war issues remain a concern among survey participants and firms are reporting supply chain shifts out of China as the uncertainty continues.

US Dollar Index (DXY): 15 – Minute Time Frame (Aug 1)

US Dollar Price Chart

The US Dollar gave up some of its recent gains on the release of the report, slipping from 98.80 to 98.66. This comes after the Dollar climbed to a two-year high yesterday on the Federal Reserves first interest rate cut since the financial crisis. Although interest rates were cut, the Dollar saw strength with Chair Powell touting this cut as an ‘insurance cut’, which seemed to shy away from indicating that the world’s most important central bank could be entering a full-blown easing cycle. Worries about hampered global growth were one of the Fed’s main concerns along with not reaching their 2 percent inflation target.

Although Fed Chair Powell noted the global growth slowdown as a primary concern for Federal Reserve members, Powell also highlighted the slowdown in the manufacturing sector. However, according to ISM’s PMI manufacturing figures, the sector is still expanding overall for a 123rd consecutive month. Still, there is a notable slowdown that is nearing contraction - which a reading below 50 would indicate. And despite the US economy being mainly consumer driven, there is a notable relationship between gross domestic product and manufacturing.

--Written by Thomas Westwater, Intern Analyst for

Contact and follow Thomas on Twitter @FxWestwater

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