Gold (XAU) Price, Analysis and Chart
- Gold’s technical set-up remains positive.
- US dollar remains strong despite looming US interest rate cut.
Q3 2019 Gold Forecast and Top Trading Opportunities
Gold Remains Pointed to The Upside
The technical set-up for gold remains positive and a re-test of last week’s multi-year high ($1,453/oz.) is expected in the short- to medium-term. A robust US dollar is currently weighing on the price of gold, despite an expected 0.25% Fed rate cut expected next week, the first of three cuts expected this year. A weaker US dollar - via lower interest rates – should see gold push higherand set new 2019 highs. Ongoing political tensions between the UK and Iran and the trade war between the US and China will also give the precious metal a bid, while any breakdown in equity valuations will push gold even higher.
Gold Price Weekly Forecast: Fed Drives Next Leg Higher
The daily gold chart shows that the pennant formation was broken to the upside before the price moved lower. The uptrend line remains intact – currently around $1,411/oz. - and only a break and close below here will invalidate the short-term positive outlook for the precious metal. A break below here should see strong support at $1,400/oz. To the upside, $1,439/oz. before a re-test of $1,453/oz.
Gold Price Daily Chart (October 2018 – July 24, 2019)
IG Client Sentiment data show that 71.0% of retail traders are net-long of gold, a bearish contrarian indicator. However, recent daily and weekly positional changes give us a stronger bearish contrarian bias.
How to Trade Gold: Top Gold Trading Strategies and Tips
Trading the Gold-Silver Ratio: Strategies and Tips
Traders may be interested in two of our trading guides – Traits of Successful Traders and Top Trading Lessons – while technical analysts are likely to be interested in our latest Elliott Wave Guide.
What is your view on Gold – bullish or bearish?? You can let us know via the form at the end of this piece or you can contact the author at nicholas.cawley@ig.com or via Twitter @nickcawley1.
