News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site.

0

Notifications

Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events

0

Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

0
Free Trading Guides
EUR/USD
Bullish
Oil - US Crude
Mixed
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Wall Street
Bearish
Gold
Bullish
GBP/USD
Bearish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
USD/JPY
Mixed
More View more
Real Time News
  • *BREAKING: Turkish Central Bank regains independence $TRY https://t.co/HwvrRtf08F
  • GDP (Gross Domestic Product) economic data is deemed highly significant in the forex market. GDP figures are used as an indicator by fundamentalists to gauge the overall health and potential growth of a country. Learn use GDP data to your advantage here: https://t.co/38gTDn8ejP https://t.co/ZcLzt2QlSZ
  • Heads Up:🇬🇧 Winter Economy Plan due at 11:30 GMT (15min) https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2020-09-24
  • 🇲🇽 Mid-month Inflation Rate YoY (SEP) Actual: 4.1% Expected: 4.05% Previous: 3.99% https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2020-09-24
  • 🇲🇽 Mid-month Inflation Rate MoM (SEP) Actual: 0.16% Expected: 0.12% Previous: 0.24% https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2020-09-24
  • Chinese Yuan to garner attention amid the FTSE Russell review of Chinese bonds - Expectations are for Chinese bonds to be included in the WGBI - Last month had been the 21st consecutive month of foreign investors increasing exposure to Chinese bonds #CNH
  • IG Client Sentiment Update: Our data shows the vast majority of traders in Ripple are long at 96.76%, while traders in EUR/GBP are at opposite extremes with 66.47%. See the summary chart below and full details and charts on DailyFX: https://www.dailyfx.com/sentiment https://t.co/TuU1FF6X7g
  • Heads Up:🇵🇱 Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes due at 11:00 GMT (15min) https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2020-09-24
  • Heads Up:🇲🇽 Mid-month Inflation Rate YoY (SEP) due at 11:00 GMT (15min) Expected: 4.05% Previous: 3.99% https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2020-09-24
  • Heads Up:🇲🇽 Mid-month Inflation Rate MoM (SEP) due at 11:00 GMT (15min) Expected: 0.12% Previous: 0.24% https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2020-09-24
Crude Oil Prices Rise, Pushing USDCAD to Test 2019 Lows - US Market Open

Crude Oil Prices Rise, Pushing USDCAD to Test 2019 Lows - US Market Open

2019-07-03 13:35:00
Justin McQueen, Analyst
Share:

MARKET DEVELOPMENT – Crude Oil Prices Jump, Pushing USDCAD to Test 2019 Lows

DailyFX 2019 FX Trading Forecasts

Oil: Brent and WTI crude futures have recouped some of yesterday’s sizeable losses with Brent crude futures reclaiming the $63 handle. Yesterday’s decline in the oil complex continued to show how fragile the sentiment is, given that an OPEC production cut extension failed to support oil prices as concerns centre around slowing demand. On the supply side, the latest API crude inventory report showed a larger than expected drawdown of 5mln (Exp. -3mln), thus providing support for oil prices throughout the session. Alongside this, the gains in oil prices has also spilled over to the FX markets with USDCAD making another test of the YTD low situated at 1.3068. A clean break raises the scope for a move towards the 1.30 handle.

GBP: GBP remains on defensive across the board with GBPUSD hovering around session lows, while EURGBP continues to edge higher as UK services PMI dropped to 50.2, missing expectations of 51. Consequently, the composite figure fell into contractionary territory at 49.7, which marked the lowest reading since the immediate aftermath of the Brexit referendum. In turn, IHS Markit stated that the combined PMI surveys indicate that Q2 growth could show a contraction of 0.1%. As such, this is likely to confirm BoE Governor Carney’s recent comments that Q2 growth is set to be considerably weaker. Thus, the outlook for the Pound remains tilted on the downside, particularly with the Bank of England providing a more cautious outlook. Of note, the next GDP release is scheduled for July 10th, however, keep in mind that this is a monthly reading for May.

USD: The greenback slipped following yet another lacklustre jobs report, in which the ADP employment change missed expectations at 102k (Exp. 140k). ADP had also revised the prior months estimate to 41k from 27k. As such, while this may suggest that risks remain tilted to the downside for Friday’s NFP report, the link between the two has been tenuous in the past.

Crude Oil Prices Rise, Pushing USDCAD to Test 2019 Lows - US Market OpenCrude Oil Prices Rise, Pushing USDCAD to Test 2019 Lows - US Market Open

Source: DailyFX, Thomson Reuters

IG Client Sentiment

Crude Oil Prices Rise, Pushing USDCAD to Test 2019 Lows - US Market Open

How to use IG Client Sentiment to Improve Your Trading

WHAT’S DRIVING MARKETS TODAY

  1. GBPUSD Outlook: Risk of Bearish Breakdown on Flash Crash Trendline Break” by Justin McQueen, Market Analyst
  2. DAX in Bull Market, ECB Stimulus is Coming, However, Beware of Volatility Spikes” by Justin McQueen, Market Analyst
  3. EURUSD Price Outlook Poor on Slow Growth, Lagarde Nomination” by Martin Essex, MSTA , Analyst and Editor
  4. Using FX To Effectively Trade Global Market Themes at IG” by Tyler Yell, CMT , Forex Trading Instructor

--- Written by Justin McQueen, Market Analyst

To contact Justin, email him at Justin.mcqueen@ig.com

Follow Justin on Twitter @JMcQueenFX

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES