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S&P 500 Downtrend Eyed, US-China Trade Deficit Risks Irking Trump

S&P 500 Downtrend Eyed, US-China Trade Deficit Risks Irking Trump

Daniel Dubrovsky, Contributing Senior Strategist


What's on this page

Asia Pacific Markets Talking Points

  • Equities generally trade lower in Asia Pacific markets
  • US GDP and trade deficit data may fuel risk aversion
  • S&P 500 downtrend may extend after support taken out

Find out what retail traders’ equities buy and sell decisions say about the coming price trend!

Asia Stocks News

Equities traded cautiously lower in Thursday Asia Pacific trade, with benchmark indexes such as Japan’s Nikkei 225 gapping to the downside. As it traded about 0.65% lower heading into Tokyo close, consumer staples made up the largest weight of the drop. As anticipated however, there was much of sideways price action thereafter.

Financial markets are vulnerable to rising US-China trade tensions, with Beijing having reported mulling cutting rare earth exports to the US as an option. The Shanghai Composite declined over 0.8%. Meanwhile in Australia, the ASX 200 was down over 0.6% as it was weighed by metals and mining. Specifically, BHP Group shares plunged over 1.4%.

The Remaining 24 Hours

In a week full of key US economic data, ahead lays revised US first quarter GDP. Growth is expected to tick down from 3.2% to 3.0%. Simultaneously, April’s trade balance will be in focus given the ongoing US-China trade war. A larger deficit, particularly with China, risks sinking sentiment if it disturbs US President Donald Trump.

MrTrump has indicated that he sees it as a key indicator of whether the country is winning or losing in trade. US economic news flow is still tending to underperform relative to economists’ expectations, and we may get downside surprises in both GDP and net exports. For now, S&P 500 futures are pointing little higher as European markets get ready for trading.

S&P 500 Technical Analysis

Taking a look at S&P 500 futures to show afterhours trade, the index did close under key support at 2789. In its near-term downtrend from the beginning of May, guided lower by the pink falling resistance line below, this has opened the door to testing 2743. Otherwise, clearing the falling trend line exposes 2900.

S&P 500 Futures Daily Chart

S&P 500 Futures Daily Chart

Chart Created in TradingView

FX Trading Resources

--- Written by Daniel Dubrovsky, Junior Currency Analyst for

To contact Daniel, use the comments section below or @ddubrovskyFX on Twitter

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.