Never miss a story from Justin McQueen

Subscribe to receive daily updates on publications
Please enter valid First Name
Please fill out this field.
Please enter valid Last Name
Please fill out this field.
Please enter valid email
Please fill out this field.
Please select a country

I’d like to receive information from DailyFX and IG about trading opportunities and their products and services via email.

Please fill out this field.

Your Forecast Is Headed to Your Inbox

But don't just read our analysis - put it to the rest. Your forecast comes with a free demo account from our provider, IG, so you can try out trading with zero risk.

Your demo is preloaded with £10,000 virtual funds, which you can use to trade over 10,000 live global markets.

We'll email you login details shortly.

Learn More about Your Demo

You are subscribed to Justin McQueen

You can manage your subscriptions by following the link in the footer of each email you will receive

An error occurred submitting your form.
Please try again later.

AUD Analysis and Talking Points

  • RBA Governor Lowe Commits to Easing Bias
  • Australian Dollar Technical Analysis | Return to Flash Crash Lows

DailyFX Q2 2019 Trading Forecasts for AUD

RBA Governor Lowe Commits to Easing Bias

Overnight, the RBA Governor explicitly stated that the central bank has an easing bias, something we have flagged for some time now (full story). Governor Lowe highlighted that lower rates would support employment and help lift inflation towards target, as a reminder, the RBA stated that a rate cut scenario would need to see inflation remain weak, while the unemployment rate would need to tick up, as such, with this being the case, a rate cut looks to take place at the June 4th meeting. However, with markets near enough fully priced in for a rate cut at the upcoming meeting the focus however will be on the outlook for further easing, which expectations are for another 25bps cut to be delivered by November.

AUDUSD Risks Return to Flash Crash Lows as RBA Commits to Rate Cut

Source: RBA

Australian Dollar Technical Analysis | Return to Flash Crash Lows

The outlook for the Australian Dollar remains soft, particularly given that the RBA are gearing up for cutting interest rates, while trade war tensions between the US and China have also escalated. Consequently, there is a risk that AUDUSD could make a return towards flash crash levels. On the weekly timeframe, the the pair remains weak. Focus in on last weeks lows at 0.6865, in which a break below opens up for a test of support 0.6830. Below there sees little in the way of notable support till 0.6740.

AUDUSD PRICE CHART: Weekly Time Frame (Oct 2017 – May 2019)

AUDUSD Risks Return to Flash Crash Lows as RBA Commits to Rate Cut

AUD TRADING RESOURCES:

--- Written by Justin McQueen, Market Analyst

To contact Justin, email him at Justin.mcqueen@ig.com

Follow Justin on Twitter @JMcQueenFX