USD Gains Awakens Currency Volatility, EUR and GBP Pressured - US Market Open

2019-04-25 13:00:00

MARKET DEVELOPMENT – USD Gains Awaken Currency Volatility

DailyFX Q2 2019 FX Trading Forecasts

USD: The US Dollar has continued to go on from strength to strength at the detriment to its major counterparts, with the exception of the Japanese Yen. In turn, the Euro has edged towards 1.11 with a break below raising the risk of a 1.10 handle, while the Pound is now trading at its lowest level in 10-weeks. With the greenback breaking above the 61.8% Fibonacci situated at 98.03, eyes are now on for a test of 98.50. Alongside this, the breakout in the USD index has awakened FX volatility, which has lifted from the multi-year lows. (Full volatility article, here).

TRY: The Turkish Lira back on the defensive following the Turkish Central Bank monetary policy decision, in which they had omitted their pledge that further tightening is needed from the monetary policy statement. Consequently, this raises questions as to whether the central bank will keep high interest rates in order to combat inflation, as such, USDTRY rose to session highs with the 6.00 handle firmly in sight.

SEK: The Riksbank provided a much more dovish message than the markets had expected, which in turn saw EURSEK catapult higher and is track for its biggest intra-day gains since October 2016. The central bank had lowered its repo-rate path, having noted that the rate will remain at current levels for a longer period of time than assumed in February.The main focal point behind the decision had been due to the soft inflation prospects with the Riksbank highlighting that inflationary pressures have been weaker than expected and is now seen to be lower over the next few years. As such, the Riksbank’s view that the repo rate is expected to be raised again towards the year-end or beginning of next year looks to be somewhat hopeful.