News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site.



Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events


Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

Free Trading Guides
Oil - US Crude
Wall Street
More View more
Real Time News
  • #2020election polls continue to show Democratic nominee Joe Biden maintaining a strong lead #Trump Supreme Court nomination may throw a wrench into bipartisan stimulus talks #AUDUSD is trading at former resistance-turned-support. What happens if it breaks?
  • USD/MXN pushes higher as a long-awaited correction in the US Dollar gets underway. Get your #currencies update from @HathornSabin here:
  • Emotions are often a key driving force behind #FOMO. If left unchecked, they can lead traders to neglect trading plans and exceed comfortable levels of risk. Read on and get your emotions in check here:
  • Join analyst @DavidJSong at 6:30 PM ET/10:30 PM GMT for your weekly update on key news trading events. Register here:
  • *Reminder: Weekly Strategy Webinar tomorrow morning at 8:30am EDT on DailyFX!
  • EUR/USD fell sharply last week and there are few signs yet that the selling is over. However, a bounce is likely before the decline resumes. Get your #currencies update from @MartinSEssex here:
  • The week ahead has many systemic issues that take control of the markets, but scheduled data is heavily skewed to the Dollar. Here is my video for the week ahead:
  • GBP turbulence persists as investors eye the next round of EU-UK Brexit negotiations. Cautious optimism signals a deal is near. Get your #currencies update from @PaulRobinsonFX here:
  • The AB=CD pattern is simple once you know how to spot it and draw the proper Fibonacci retracements. Make your trading strategy as simple as ABCD here:
  • BoE’s Tenreyro says evidence on negative rates are “encouraging” Meanwhile, STOXX Europe Banks Index resides at all time lows
S&P 500 Outlook: Bank Earnings Mixed Ahead of Tuesday's Reports

S&P 500 Outlook: Bank Earnings Mixed Ahead of Tuesday's Reports

2019-04-15 15:34:00
Peter Hanks, Analyst

S&P 500 Outlook Talking Points:

S&P 500 Outlook: Bank Earnings Mixed Ahead of Tuesday's Reports

Five of the country’s largest banks have reported earnings as of Monday morning, delivering a series of mixed results compared to Street expectations. Friday saw the release of JP Morgan, Wells Fargo and PNC while Citigroup and Goldman Sachs announced their earnings before market open on Monday.

S&P 500 Outlook: Bank Earnings Mixed Ahead of Tuesday's Reports

Data Source: Bloomberg

Compared to their one-day implied volatility ahead of earnings, Wells Fargo and PNC saw price movement within expectations while JP Morgan surprised traders with a 2% greater reaction than option pricing suggested. Elsewhere, Goldman Sachs dragged the Dow Jones lower on Monday with a notable miss compared to consensus expectations on Wall Street. The bank accounts for 5.34% of the Industrial Average – the fourth highest weighting on the index.

Please add a description for the image.

Data Source: Bloomberg

Earnings season will continue Tuesday with the release of first quarter results from Bank of America (BAC) and Blackrock (BLK) before the open with Morgan Stanley (MS) and US Bancorp (USB) slated for Wednesday morning. As analysts await upcoming results, implied volatility reveals traders expect the most significant price reaction from Morgan Stanley.

S&P 500 Outlook: Bank Earnings Mixed Ahead of Tuesday's Reports

Data Source: Bloomberg

Single day implied volatility suggests MS shares could swing as low as $44.44 or as high as $47.96 following the results. Given that the release is slated for Wednesday, implied volatility could shift as traders jockey for positioning in Tuesday trading. On a broader basis, Bank of America is expected to see the greatest price change in the four weeks to follow with 31.14% implied volatility. Ahead of tomorrow’s quarterly report, only 2.05% change in price is implied – lower than the 2.75% average absolute move following an earnings release from the bank.

Outside of financials, Dow Jones giants United Health Group and Johnson & Johnson report on Tuesday before market open. In the tech space, FAANG member Netflix is scheduled to report after the close later that day – a key influencer of tech sentiment. For further equity and earnings insight, follow me on Twitter @PeterHanksFX.

--Written by Peter Hanks, Junior Analyst for

Contact and follow Peter on Twitter @PeterHanksFX

Read more: Dow Jones, S&P 500, DAX 30, and FTSE 100 Technical Forecast

DailyFX forecasts on a variety of currencies such as the US Dollar or the Euro are available from the DailyFX Trading Guides page. If you’re looking to improve your trading approach, check out Traits of Successful Traders. And if you’re looking for an introductory primer to the Forex market, check out our New to FX Guide.

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.