We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site.

Free Trading Guides
EUR/USD
Mixed
GBP/USD
Bullish
USD/JPY
Bearish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Gold
Mixed
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Oil - US Crude
Mixed
Bitcoin
Bearish
More View more
Real Time News
  • The latest UK General Election opinion polls continue to show the Conservative Party holding a strong lead over Labour and point to Boris Johnson winning a working majority in Parliament. Get your $GBPUSD market update from @nickcawley1 here: https://t.co/qF04EOUWkI https://t.co/LNl4bXbnpp
  • Recent polls have put Conservatives ahead of Labour and given a boost to $GBP. Get your #Brexit update from @ZabelinDimitri here: https://t.co/l2n53C0cYY https://t.co/oTWfXkaDDt
  • What are the truths and myths of #forex trading? Find out from @DailyFX analysts here: https://t.co/uF75VPzstr #FOMOintrading https://t.co/xeromAGqqx
  • Macro data from around the world have long attested to the urgent need for a trade settlement between the US and China. Increasingly the corporate numbers are saying the same. Get your market update from @DavidCottleFX here:https://t.co/Qon7QUO80c https://t.co/rCOG78QQ2M
  • #Gold prices may fall while the US Dollar gains even as economic policies championed by the Trump administration invite inflation. Get your market update from @IlyaSpivak here: https://t.co/4lHhHsby56 $XAUUSD https://t.co/JmZxckVHdS
  • Cable (GBP/USD) remains just off its seven-month high print around 1.3165 as traders start to move to the side lines ahead of next Thursday’s General Election vote. Get your $GBPUSD market update from @nickcawley1 here: https://t.co/CpCh13J9ZH #Brexit https://t.co/PIh6WUqbsK
  • (Weekly Technical Outlook) GBP/USD, EUR/GBP, GBP/JPY, GBP/CAD Outlook as UK Election Looms $GBPUSD $EURGBP $GBPJPY #UKelection2019 - https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/technical/article/fx_technical_weekly/2019/12/07/GBPUSD-EURGBP-GBPJPY-GBPCAD-Outlook-as-UK-Election-Looms.html?CHID=9&QPID=917702 https://t.co/iuILHYczJ7
  • Why do you require consistency in trading and why does it matter? Find out: https://t.co/WlEFlluGfZ #tradingstyle https://t.co/TkMtJQKatx
  • By issuing debt denominated in $USD, China is making a long-term bet that it will be cheaper to pay back its loans over time in the US Dollar; it believes the value of the US Dollar will fall. Get your market update from @CVecchioFX here:https://t.co/5GO9UrvO4y https://t.co/xV9urXXf48
  • What are some risk trading management techniques? Find out: https://t.co/RShdlDz9RA #tradingstyle https://t.co/M3ASPIHAep
GBPUSD Price Outlook: Brexit Can-Kicking & Flexible Extensions

GBPUSD Price Outlook: Brexit Can-Kicking & Flexible Extensions

2019-04-05 09:30:00
Nick Cawley, Analyst
Share:

GBPUSD Price Analysis and Brexit:

  • Sterling unmoved after latest Brexit delay plans.
  • GBPUSD still battling trend resistance.

The Brand New DailyFX Q2 2019 Trading Forecast and Guides are Available to Download Now!!

GBPUSD – PM May goes long, EU will want to go much longer.

This morning UK PM Theresa May sent a letter to the EU asking them to extend the Brexit end date until June 30 this year, with the option to bring this date forward if ‘both parties are able to ratify before this date’ to avoid taking part in European parliamentary elections. It is likely that the EU will turn down this request and instead offer the UK a one-year flexible extension with an end date of April 10, 2020, with an option to terminate this date when the Withdrawal Agreement is agreed - a ‘flextension’ according to one EU source. European council president Donald Tusk is said to outline this option at a European summit next Wednesday to avoid having to discuss extending the Brexit process every few weeks.

Sterling has taken this latest news in its stride and continues to trade either side of 1.3100 against the US dollar. Thursday saw GBPUSD sell-off and drop below the recent uptrend, which now looks likely to become a barrier to further upside. The British Pound continues to trade with a small positive Brexit premium built in and today’s news that a further long-extension is likely will shift thoughts that a no deal Brexit is becoming increasingly unlikely and that a second referendum is more likely. Cable trades around mid this week’s 1.3006 – 1.3199 trading range and this is set to hold as things stand, although a US NFP blow-out or large miss may see this range tested.

GBPUSD Daily Price Chart (June 2018 – April 5, 2019)

GBPUSD Price Outlook: Brexit Can-Kicking & Flexible Extensions

Retail traders are 70.0% net-long GBPUSD according to the latest IG Client Sentiment Data, a bearish contrarian indicator. See how recent daily and weekly positional changes can move client sentiment.

Traders may be interested in two of our trading guides – Traits of Successful Traders and Top Trading Lessons – while technical analysts are likely to be interested in our latest Elliott Wave Guide.

What is your view on Sterling – bullish or bearish?? You can let us know via the form at the end of this piece or you can contact the author at nicholas.cawley@ig.comor via Twitter @nickcawley1.

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES

News & Analysis at your fingertips.